New Orleans Saints at Dallas Cowboys Pick - Odds and ATS Predictions

November 29, 8:20 PM EST

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
New Orleans -7.5

Week 13 of the NFL season gets underway on Thursday night with the 10-1 New Orleans Saints looking to extend their current winning streak as road favorites against the 6-5 Dallas Cowboys. Game time from AT&T Stadium is set for 8:20 p.m. on NFL Network.

New Orleans at Dallas Game Overview

The Saints have established themselves as frontrunners for this season’s NFC title with a straight-up 10-game winning streak that includes a victory against the Los Angeles Rams as the next best team in the conference. With last Thursday’s 31-17 rout of Atlanta as a 12.5-point home favorite, New Orleans has been able to cover against the spread in each of its previous nine games. The total stayed UNDER 61 points in that last win, and it has stayed UNDER in four of its last six games.

With veteran quarterback Drew Brees playing at a very high level, the Saints continue to score points at an alarming rate. Bolstered by running backs’ Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram along with wide receiver Michael Thomas as Brees’ top target in the passing game, this offense is scoring an average of 37.2 points per game. You can also credit the Saints’ defense in a few of their recent wins with a points-allowed average of 12.6 over the last three games.

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Dallas has worked its way to the top of the NFC East at 6-5 (SU and ATS) with a trio of wins against Philadelphia and Atlanta on the road and Washington at home on Thanksgiving. Thursday’s 31-23 win against the 6-5 Redskins as a seven-point favorite evened the season series between the two at one game apiece. The Cowboys were able to cover in all three of those games, and the total has gone OVER in four of their last six outings. They are 3-2 ATS at home this season.

When Ezekiel Elliott has a big day running the ball, Dallas will typically post a significant number on the scoreboard. He has rushed for 394 yards on 68 carries over the last three games. Dak Prescott also benefits from a solid ground game when it comes to moving the ball down the field through the air. One of his newest targets, Amari Cooper, had 180 yards receiving with two scores in the win against Washington.

New Orleans at Dallas Betting Trends

  • The Saints have covered in 20 of their last 27 road games and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five Thursday games. The total has stayed UNDER in six of their last seven games on a Thursday.
  • The Cowboys are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Thursday games, and they have failed to cover in 11 of their last 16 games against a straight-up winning team. The total has stayed UNDER in eight of their last 11 NFC games.
  • New Orleans has covered in eight of its last 11 games against Dallas with the total going OVER in four of the previous five meetings.

New Orleans at Dallas Prediction 11/29/2018

The Saints started this extended run by just beating teams, including a close call against Baltimore on the road in late October. Since then, they have been running over teams with double-digit victories in their last five games. Dallas may be the best team in the watered-down NFC East, but it is just the next team in the way of New Orleans’ quest for the top seed in the NFC.

Lay the points on the road favorite with the Saints posting another double-digit win.

Free Pick: 
Take New Orleans -7.5