New Orleans Saints at Buffalo Bills Free Point Spread Pick - Odds - NFL Prediction

November 12, 1:00 PM EST

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Buffalo +3

The AFC East will take on the NFC South in a meeting between the Buffalo Bills and the New Orleans Saints. The game will take place at New Era Field at Ralph Wilson Stadium in Buffalo, New York on Sunday, November 12th, 2017 at 1:00 PM ET. The contest will be showcased on FOX for regional audiences. The two teams have not met since 2013 where the Saints defeated the Bills by a score of 35-17 in the Big Easy. The Saints have won the last four meetings dating back to 2001.

The two teams come into this contest off differing notions. For Buffalo, they enter this affair on extended rest after being taken down by considerable margins against divisional rival New York on Thursday Night Football last week. The Bills despite being favored in the Meadowlands lost by two touchdowns. For New Orleans, the Saints continue to march. The Black and Gold have now won their sixth consecutive game and did so in convincing fashion when they usurped divisional foe Tampa Bay by a score of 30-10 last Sunday at home.

Public Money Consensus

64% of the public cash is on the Bills, but 52% of the tickets are with the Saints against the spread. With respect to these narratives, line movements indicate that action has rolled in on New Orleans given the fact the market has risen by half of a point. Presently in Over/Under markets, the number has dropped by 2.5 points from the open with 86% of the cash on the Under. On the contrary, 57% of the ticket action is on the Over.

New Orleans Saints at Buffalo Bills Week 10 Prediction

Situationally, this contest sets up perfectly for what we call a buy-low and sell-high scenario. There is not a hotter team in the NFL right now perhaps than the New Orleans Saints. With their winning streak, the Saints’ stock continues to rise to new levels each week. Thumping Tampa Bay to the extent the Saints did only elevates them to a point where a let-down is the only possible outcome that is bound to happen. This could be that juncture.

The Saints do not fare well historically outside of their controlled environment once the autumn temperatures begin to dip. In Buffalo, it is frigid compared to the Big Easy. Buffalo is 4-0 at home this year and that mark may stay unscathed the closer the season gets to winter. Nevertheless, Buffalo was embarrassed by a football team that was supposed to go winless this year on national television when the Jets had their way with the Buffs. This course of events is bound to cultivate a reaction from the public and only sells the stock of the scorching Saints even more. Buffalo may be worth a look on the Money Line here but for those looking to play it safe, take the points.

Free Pick: 
Take Buffalo +3

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