Miami Dolphins at Tennessee Titans Week 17 Pick ATS

Date: 
January 2, 1:00 PM EST
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Tenn -3.5
Total: 
39.5

It's a pivotal game in the AFC playoff battle when the 10-5 Titans host the 8-7 Dolphins Sunday
afternoon in Nashville. If the playoff started today, these two teams would meet right here for an
AFC wild-card game. But there's still some work to be done by both teams, with two games to
go in this regular season.
Tennessee is favored by three and a hook in this spot; how are we playing this game with our
free NFL betting pick?

NFL Betting Lines

The Week 17 NFL betting odds opened Tennessee as a 3.5-point home favorite Sunday's game,
with an over/under of right around 40. Early betting action then edged that total down to 39.5.

Dolphins Betting Preview

Miami rides a seven-game winning streak into Sunday after beating the shorthanded Saints in
New Orleans Monday night 20-3. The Dolphins took the lead for good on a pick-6 five minutes into the game, led 10-3 at the half, then blanked the Saints from there for the victory and the
cover as three-point favorites.
Miami only produced 259 yards of total offense Monday night but held New Orleans to just 164.
The Dolphins also won the time of possession by a 34:26 split, recorded eight sacks, and held the Saints to 0/12 on 3 rd -down conversions.
Miami has now out-gained each of its last six opponents and out-rushed four of its last five foes.
The Dolphins are also 6-1 ATS their last seven times out.
At 8-7 overall, Miami controls its own playoff destiny; with a win Sunday and next week against New England, they're in, but with one loss, they’re out.

Titans Betting Preview

Tennessee, meanwhile, just bounced back from that tough loss at Pittsburgh two weeks ago to
beat San Francisco last Thursday 20-17. The Titans trailed the 49ers 10-0 at the half, then scored the first 17 points of the second half to lead by seven. In the end, tied at 17-17, Tennessee drove 49 yards to a game-winning field goal with four seconds left.

The Titans got out-gained by San Francisco 389-278 but won the turnover battle 2-0, creating a +10 points differential.
Tennessee has now been out-gained by four of its last seven opponents, although it’s also out-rushed each of its last five foes.
The Titans are also only 2-3, both SU and ATS over their last five games, scoring a total of just 79 points during that span.
At 10-5 overall, Tennessee can clinch the AFC South title with a win Sunday or an Indianapolis loss to the Raiders. The Titans are also only one game behind Kansas City in the battle for the
No. 1 seed in the AFC, and they own the head-to-head tie-breaker on the Chiefs thanks to a 27-3 victory back in October.

On the personnel front, Tennessee is still playing without RB Derrick Henry. These two teams met most recently three seasons ago, a 27-20 Dolphins victory. Current Titans QB Ryan Tannehill quarterbacked Miami that day against Blaine Gabbert for Tennessee.

NFL Betting Trends

  • Home teams are 118-118 SU, 105-131 ATS in the NFL this season.
  • Favorites are 147-91 SU, 114-124 ATS in the NFL this season.

More Picks: Jay's Arizona at Dallas Predicted Point Spread Winner

Totals Report

The Under is 9-6 in Dolphins games this season, which are averaging 41 total points.
The Under is 8-7 in Titans games this season, which are averaging 46 points.
The Under is 129-109 in the NFL this season.

Dolphins vs. Titans Pick ATS 1/2/22

Miami’s won seven games in a row but who are they beating? Houston, the Jets, Carolina, the
Giants. Not exactly Murderers’ Row. Also, the Dolphins are only averaging 87 yards per game
on the ground. Tennessee, meanwhile, owns wins over the Bills, Chiefs, Colts, Rams and 49ers
and is averaging 153 YPG on the ground over its last five games, without Henry! Plus, the best
unit on the field will probably be the Titans defense. We like Tennessee here, minus the points.
Free Pick: 
Take the Titans -3.5