Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots Pick ATS - Odds and Betting Preview

September 30, 1:00 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
New England -7

The New England Patriots (1-2) and Miami Dolphins (3-0) will renew their divisional rivalry when they square off in a critical AFC East collision on Sunday, September 30th, 2018 at 1:00 PM ET. The game will be broadcasted for regional demographics on CBS. The Patriots remain the big dog in the AFC East, but Miami pulled together a stunning upset of the Pats in their last meeting in a Monday Night game in Miami in 2017. As a 10.5-point pup, the Fins would defeat the Patriots 27-20 in what was one of 2017's biggest shockers.

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Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots Overview

Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins come into this contest as one of the three remaining undefeated teams in the NFL. The list of Miami victims, include Tennessee and New York. Most recently, the Dolphins handed the Oakland Raiders a 28-20 loss at home last Sunday. This season, Miami remains perfect against the spread.

New England Patriots

The Patriots come in off a 26-10 defeat suffered on Monday Night Football when Tom Brady and company traveled to the Motor City to face off with Matt Stafford and the Detroit Lions. The Patriots offense lacked explosiveness, and their defense had no answer for Detroit's bursts of yard accumulation. A conservative Detroit strategy allowed the game to appear closer than the scoreline shows.

Reasons to Avoid Miami

The Dolphins have been a cash cow so far this season, which means they have been supremely undervalued. What we can expect is the market to catch up to Miami, and this venue seems like the perfect scenario for such an event to unfold. Miami has more or less feasted on marginal opposition to kick off their 2018 campaign, now they are taking a step up in quality in the most challenging environment they have to play in this season-so-far.

Reasons to Back New England

New England is a tough out at home. The mystique of Foxboro is one that has reached a mythological stature. It is even harder to beat New England in their own stead when it is a game of consequence. Given the play of Miami, New England will recognize the value of a win here as it gets them back on track and within striking distance of the AFC East lead. This in itself promotes a play on the Pats.

Get more details: Miami at New England NFL Match-Up

Miami at New England Prediction 09/30/2018

New England’s primetime loss was seen by all and that makes the public reluctant to get on board with the Patriots here this week, especially against a team that is undefeated. The points seem quite appetizing here with the Dolphins, but it is assuredly fool's gold. Bill Belichick is better than anyone that coaching up his teams when the road gets bumpy. New England will respond to their last two losses with fury and take it out on the Dolphins. Swallow the points.

Free Pick: 
Take New England -7