Los Angeles Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars Free Point Spread Pick - Odds - NFL Prediction

Date: 
November 12, 1:00 PM EST
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Jaguars -4
Total: 
41

Los Angeles had their bye last week. Jacksonville defeated Cincinnati 23-7 last Sunday.

Los Angeles has tried to get their running game going in the first half of 2017 but is only averaging 89 ypg on the ground. RB Melvin Gordon sports a 4.0 ypc average and look for him to get some early chances against a defense that has had their issues defending opponent’s rushing attacks (4.9 ypc, 124.9 ypg). Where the Jaguars do shine is in defending the pass, where they allow just 156.4 ypg, have 10 interceptions and 35 sacks. QB Philip Rivers has committed at least 1 TO in 14 of his past 15 games. By concentrating on defending the run, Jacksonville’s pass defense and pass rush should pose some problems for the noted gunslinger.

Jacksonville was able to move the ball on the ground last week despite the absence of rookie RB Leonard Fournette (team suspension). Afterwards, he sounded remorseful and raring to go and that spells bad news for the Chargers defense. The Jags average 166.4 ypg running the ball while LA allows 135.1 ypg. Look for a lot of Fournette and RB Chris Ivory in this one. QB Blake Bortles isn’t being asked to do too much and he has done a decent job of taking care of the ball (5 INTs, 2 lost fumbles). WRs Marqise Lee and Allen Hurns have stepped up in the absence of Allen Robinson (IR) and TE Marcedes Lewis leads the team with 4 TD catches. The Chargers pass defense is difficult to gauge as teams generally abuse their run defense.

Public Money Consensus

In this week 10 NFL matchup between Los Angeles Chargers and Jacksonville have the public evenly split on the spread with 50% aside. The over/under bettors are thinking this game will go over the posted total line of 41 with over 60% on board.

Los Angeles Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars Week 10 Prediction

This is a key game for both clubs. The Chargers need to win to keep their wild card hopes alive while Jacksonville is in a race to win the AFC South and secure their first playoff berth since 2007. I like the matchup of the Jags’ running game vs. the Chargers defense and their secondary vs. the LA receivers. Jacksonville is only 1-2 at home this year but they won last week in convincing fashion. I look for them to make it 2 in a row and feel the number is low enough for them to get the cover.

Free Pick: 
Take the Jaguars -4
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