Kansas City Chiefs at Seattle Seahawks Pick - Odds and Against the Spread Predictions

Date: 
December 23, 8:20 PM EST
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Kansas City -2.5
Total: 
53.5

The 11-3 Kansas City Chiefs and the 8-6 Seattle Seahawks highlight Sunday Night Football this week on NBC. Game time from Century Link Field for this important inter-conference clash is slated for 8:20 p.m.

Kansas City at Seattle Overview

The Chiefs were in the driver seat in the AFC West title race all season long, but last Thursday’s 29-28 loss to the Los Angeles Chargers as 3.5-point home favorites has both teams tied at the top of the standings. A troubling issue for bettors is Kansas City’s 1-5-1 record against the spread over its last games after starting the season with seven-straight covers. The total has gone OVER in its previous four games.

One of the biggest problems riding the Chiefs down the stretch has been their tendency to play their best football earlier in the season. After losing to the Los Angeles Rams a few weeks back, they struggled to get past Oakland on the road and Baltimore at home in their next two games. Last week’s loss was hard to swallow on a last-second two-point conversion. This remains one of the best offensive attacks in the league behind second-year phenom Patrick Mahomes at quarterback, but Kansas City still needs a better effort on the other side of the ball.

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Seattle had a firm grip on the top wild-card playoff spot in the NFC following a straight up four-game winning streak while going 3-1 ATS. Last week's meltdown against San Francisco in a 26-23 overtime loss as a four-point road favorite made things a bit less secure. The Seahawks have been able to cover in four of their first six home games with one contest ending as a PUSH. This is part of an 8-4-2 record ATS overall. The total has gone OVER in five of their last six games.

The Seahawks rely heavily on quarterback Russell Wilson as the team’s top playmaker, but this offense is still predicated on running the ball with an average of 154.9 yards per game. With a scoring average of 25.9 points per game, Seattle also relies heavily on a defense that is only allowing 20.9 points against its opponents. Head coach Pete Carroll knows that his team cannot go toe-to-toe with Kansas City on the scoreboard, so look for an even heavier emphasis on running the ball and playing defense this Sunday night in Seattle.

Kansas City at Seattle Betting Trends

  • The Chiefs have a 20-8-1 record ATS in its last 29 road games, but they are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss. The total has gone OVER in their previous four road games.
  • The Seahawks are 23-10-1 ATS in their last 34 December games, and they have gone 4-0-1 ATS coming off an ATS loss. The total has gone OVER in five of their previous seven games against a team with a straight up winning record.
  • The favorite in this matchup is 12-5 ATS over the last 17 meetings and the total has gone OVER in the previous four meetings.

Kansas City at Seattle Prediction 12/23/2018

The Chiefs continue to feel the pressure from Los Angeles in a tight division race and Seattle's margin for error to earn a wild-card playoff spot is getting rather slim. With so much on the line for either team, I actually see the defense being the focal point of this game.

Kansas City should win and cover if it plays to form, but my ‘best bet’ pick for Sunday night is the UNDER on an inflated total line.

Free Pick: 
Take the Under 53.5
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