Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots Pick - Odds and ATS Predictions

October 14, 8:20 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
New England -3.5

The Kansas City Chiefs and the New England Patriots clash this Sunday night in a key matchup in the AFC. New England is favored by 3.5 points at home with 5Dimes setting the total line at an inflated 59 points.

The showdown that sports bettors have been waiting for all week kicks off this Sunday night at 8:20 on NBC with the 5-0 Kansas City Chiefs on the road as underdogs against the 3-2 New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium.

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Kansas City at New England Overview

The Chiefs started last season with a convincing 42-27 victory against New England as eight-point road underdogs on their way to a straight-up 5-0 start. That run came to an end in Week 6 against Pittsburgh. This season, they bring a 5-0 record (SU and against the spread) into Foxborough in hopes of keeping this winning streak alive. The total went OVER 47.5 points in last year meeting, and it has gone OVER in three of Kansas City's first five games this year.

Under the guidance of second-year quarterback Patrick Mahomes, the Chiefs are ranked 11th in the league in both passing yards and rushing yards per game. They move to second in the NFL when it comes to scoring with 35.0 points per game. Mahomes threw his first interception of the season in last week’s win against Jacksonville against his 14 touchdown throws. Kareem Hunt has led the way on the ground with 376 yards rushing and four touchdowns on 93 carries.

New England bounced back from that Week 1 loss and a 2-2 start to win the AFC title in 2017. Following a shaky 1-2 start (SU and ATS) this season, it quickly bounced back with victories at home against Miami and Indianapolis by a combined score of 76-31. The total went OVER 50 points against the Colts after staying UNDER in three of the Patriots’ first four games.

Tom Brady has lit things up his past two games with 615 yards passing and six touchdown throws. A big part of the passing game was back in action last Sunday with Julian Edelman catching seven of nine targets for 57 yards coming off a league suspension. Tight end Rob Gronkowski continues to lead the way with 308 yards receiving on 23 receptions, but James White has come down with 32 of the 44 balls thrown his way for 270 yards.

Kansas City at New England Betting Trends

  • The Chiefs have covered in 16 of their last 21 games following a straight-up win and they have gone 6-2 ATS in their previous eight games in October. The total has stayed UNDER in their last six games against a team with a straight-up winning record.
  • The Patriots are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games against a team with a SU winning record, and they have covered in 35 of their last 51 home games. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five October games.
  • Head-to-head in this conference clash, New England has won six of its last seven home games against Kansas City SU, and the total has gone OVER in six of the previous eight meetings in Foxborough.

Get more details: Kansas City at New England NFL Match-Up

Kansas City at New England Prediction 10/14/2018

Kansas City has clearly established itself as the cream of the crop in the early part of the season. A win on Sunday night would put the Chiefs in the driver seat for the top seed in the AFC, but a loss would swing all the momentum back in the Patriots' favor. When you go against New England at home, you do so at your own peril.

Look for New England to successfully avenge last season’s loss to the Chiefs with a victory on Sunday night that covers the 3.5 points.

Free Pick: 
Take the Patriots -3.5

Winning sports bettor Rich Crew gives out NFL picks versus the betting line: Moneyline, Top Fav ATS and, Top Dog ATS