Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Rams Pick - Odds and Against the Spread Predictions

Date: 
November 19, 8:15 PM EST
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Los Angeles -3.5
Total: 
63

The top showdown this week in the NFL is an inter-conference clash between the 9-1 Kansas City Chiefs and the 9-1 Los Angeles Rams this Monday night. Game time from Memorial Coliseum is set for 8:15 p.m. on ESPN.

Kansas City at Los Angeles Game Overview

The Chiefs were designated as the road team in this matchup when it was initially scheduled to be played in Mexico City. Poor field conditions at that venue moved the game to the Coliseum earlier this week. This could be a good thing for Kansas City as a true road team in this game. It has gone 4-1 straight-up on the road with the only loss coming against New England while covering against the spread in all five contests. The 9-1 Chiefs remain one of the top betting teams in the league at 8-2 ATS.

Kansas City’s run to the top of the AFC has been predicated on scoring more points than its opponents. The Chiefs are ranked second in scoring with an average 35.3 points per game, but they fall to 16th on defense in points allowed (24.0). Second-year quarterback Patrick Mahomes has been a massive part of this success with 3,150 passing yards and 31 passing touchdowns to lead the league in both categories. Tyreek Hill remains his favorite target with 55 receptions for 891 yards and nine touchdowns.

Los Angeles has the best record in the NFC at 9-1 SU, but it has been a much less reliable team for bettors. After covering in their first three games this season, the Rams have posted a costly 1-5-1 record ATS in their last seven contests. They failed to cover against Seattle last Sunday in a tight 36-31 win as 9.5-point home favorites. They are 2-2-1 ATS in five previous home games this year with the total going OVER in three of those five games.

The Rams are another team that would instead run past their opponents on the scoreboard as opposed to keeping them off the board altogether. They are third in the league in scoring with 33.5 PPG and their defense slides to 12th in points allowed (23.1). Third-year quarterback Jared Goff is second only to Mahomes in total passing yards (3,134), and he has tossed 22 touchdowns against seven interceptions. The balance in this offense comes from Todd Gurley running the ball. He leads the NFL in rushing yards with 988 on 198 carries.

Kansas City at Los Angeles Betting Trends

  • The Chiefs have gone 20-7 ATS in their last 27 road games and they are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win. The total has gone OVER in four of their last five Monday night games.
  • The Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against a team with a straight up winning record, and they have failed to cover in six of their last eight home games. The total has gone OVER in four of their last five games against a SU winning team.
  • Kansas City is a perfect 5-0 both SU and ATS in its last six games against the Rams.

Chiefs at Rams Prediction 11/19/2018

The Chiefs and Rams are not only two of the best teams in the NFL, but they are also two of the most exciting teams to watch. There is a reason why the total line for this game resembles a matchup in college football's Mountain West.

You know that each team’s offense is going have success against the opposing team’s defense, so I am going to take the bait with a ‘best bet’ play on the OVER this Monday night.

Free Pick: 
Take the Over 63
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