Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots Pick ATS - Odds and Betting Predictions

October 4, 8:20 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
New England -10

The Indianapolis Colts take on the New England Patriots this Thursday night to kick things off in Week 5 of the NFL season. The Patriots opened as 10-point home favorites, and 5Dimes has set the early total line at 53 points.

Both FOX and NFL Network are set to broadcast this Thursday night’s AFC clash between the 1-3 Indianapolis Colts and the 2-2 New England Patriots. Game time from Gillette Stadium is set for 8:20 p.m.

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Indianapolis at New England Game Overview

The Colts could just as easily be 3-1 straight-up heading into this came after suffering tough back-to-back losses to Philadelphia on the road and Houston at home in games they had more than one chance to win. They are 2-2 against the spread with the total going an even 2-2 as well. It has actually stayed UNDER in each of Indianapolis’s two road games this year.

Andrew Luck is starting to work his way back into top form after missing an entire season of play. Through his first four starts this year, he has completed 67.2 percent of his 186 passing attempts for 1,126 yards and nine touchdowns against three interceptions. He has also been sacked nine times. TY Hilton remains his top target, and he has come down with 21 of those completions for 294 yards and two scores. However, he is listed as doubtful on the current injury report.

New England has been able to fight off another slow start at 2-2 (SU and ATS) with a very convincing 38-7 romp over previously unbeaten Miami on Sunday as a 6.5-point favorite at home. Both of the Patriots' earlier losses were on the road against Jacksonville and Detroit. They opened the season with a 27-20 win against Houston as 6.5-point home favorites. The total stayed UNDER 50.5 points against the Dolphins, and it has stayed UNDER in three of their first four games.

Everything was working right for New England in Sunday’s lopsided victory. Tom Brady completed 23-of-35 passes for 274 yards and three touchdowns, but he also tossed a pair of interceptions. Sony Michel took over for an injured Rex Burkhead at running back and gained 112 yards with one touchdown run on 25 carries. Credit the Patriots’ defense for playing its best game of the season. It held Miami to just 172 yards of total offense and one meaningless score when the game was already out of hand.

Indianapolis at New England Betting Trends

  • The Colts have lost nine of their last 11 road games SU, but they have been able to cover ATS in five of their last seven games on the road. The total has stayed UNDER in 10 of their last 12 games overall.
  • The Patriots are 15-4 SU in their last 19 games with a 9-1 record in their previous 10 home games. They have covered the spread in eight of those 10 games at home, and the total has stayed UNDER in four of their last six home games.
  • Head-to-head in this AFC tilt, New England is a perfect 5-0 SU in its last five games against Indianapolis with a 4-1 record ATS. The total has gone OVER in seven of the previous eight meetings.

Get more details: Indianapolis at New England NFL Match-Up

Indianapolis at New England Prediction 10/04/2018

The Colts continue to play hard each week with Luck back at the helm, and they should be able to keep this game closer than the current 10-point spread. New England needed to make a statement against Miami in a crucial division game, but it could struggle to dial up that same intensity this week.

I have New England winning this game SU, but I will take my chances on another solid showing by the Colts to cover.

Free Pick: 
Take Indianapolis +10

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