Houston Texans at Philadelphia Eagles Pick - Odds and ATS Predictions
The Houston Texans (10-4) and Philadelphia Eagles (7-7) will lock horns in the City of Brotherly Love for a pivotal cross-conference on Sunday, December 23rd, 2018. The game will be televised on CBS with a kick-off time of 1:00 PM ET. The two teams have met on four occasions dating back to 2002. Philadelphia has won all four contests and has covered successfully in the previous three meetings between the two parties. Most recently, Philly defeated H-Town 31-21 in Houston as a 1.5-point choice in their last collision in 2014.
Houston Texans at Philadelphia Eagles Overview
The Texans come into this contest winning ten of their last eleven matches overall. Houston had extended their winning streak to nine games before divisional rival Indianapolis ended that two weeks ago. The Texans bounced back with a touchdown win on the road against the New York Jets where a pushed was created in 29-22 final that saw the Texans closing as a touchdown favorite.
The Eagles showed glimmers of the Super Bowl Champion team they were in 2017 with a momentous 30-23 victory over the top team of the NFC, the Los Angeles Rams when the two teams met last Sunday in the City of Angels. The Birds orchestrated the upset outright as a 13.5-point underdog. Philadelphia has won three of their previous four outings to make a late playoff push as they are determined to go off on their shield as the defending champs of the league.
Reasons to Avoid Philadelphia
Philadelphia pulled one of the biggest upsets of the season last week and as a result, have seemingly stirred what appears to be an overreaction in their follow-up. As defending Super Bowl Champion, takers can expect to pay a premium to back Philly pretty much in any game they are involved in this season. It is for this reason Philly is just 5-9 ATS presently. However, when Philly pulls off a win that keeps their playoff hopes alive and makes them look good while doing so that propensity to be overvalued is heightened. The fact remains we saw Philly go from a 13.5-point underdog to a 1.5-point favorite in just a week. That is a 15-point swing typifies a classic case of what is an overlay and/or overreaction.
Reasons to Back Houston
The Texans opened as a 1.5-point favorite in this affair but thanks to a hefty and steady heaping of public steam on the Eagles we now get the Texans at a far better price. Anytime a favorite becomes an underdog that is often a value play in itself because we are essentially getting the better team at a better price according to the market assessment. Furthermore, when it is factored into the equation that Houston has the better record and overall better body of work this season, the idiom holds true and makes the Texans a must-play here.
Texans at Eagles Prediction 12/21/2018
Houston’s fifth-ranked scoring defense (20.1 points per game) will set the pace for this affair and dictate from the get-go. The Texans rushing attack ranks 6th in the NFL producing 130.4 yards per game and Houston will deploy this approach to keep Philly’s 27th-ranked defense in terms of total yardage against per game (385.6 yards per game) to keep Philadelphia’s offense off the field, extend their possessions to create more scoring chances, and neutralize the hostile crowd. The Texans earned their 11th win of the season while also getting their first victory against Philadelphia in their franchise’s history.