Green Bay Packers at Washington Redskins Pick ATS - Odds and Betting Preview

Date: 
September 23, 1:00 PM EDT
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Packers -2.5
Total: 
45

This season the Packers are 1-1 ATS with an O/U record of 2-0 and the Redskins are 1-1 ATS with an O/U record of 0-2.

Line Movement

The Packers opened as a 2.5-point road favorite with a total of 45 to 46.5 depending on where you lay your action. The point spread has held at most betting shops while we’ve seen some downward movement are now at -3 with the total at 45 at many betting sites.


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Packers at Redskins Game Set-Up

Green Bay

The Packers fell to 1-0-1 in their last game with a 29-29 home tie against the Minnesota Vikings where they covered the spread as a 2-point underdog and the 58 points easily crossed the 45 points total line.

The Packers are coming off a rare tie in their last game where they had a little luck on their side with Minnesota missing three field goals in the game. Aaron Rodgers looked pretty good on a bad wheel, and his mobility will be limited in this game as well. Green Bay faced Minnesota, who had the best defense in the league last season and this Sunday facing Washington, who has the top-rated defense after two games.

Note: Green Bay will get back RB Aaron Jones, who missed the opening two games because of a suspension, and he will look to help a run game that ranks only 25th in the league.

Washington

The Redskins fell to 1-1 with a surprising 21-9 home loss to the Indianapolis Colts where they failed to cover as a 6-point favorite, and the low offensive output had UNDER bettors cashing their tickets.

After a convincing win in the desert beating the Arizona Cardinals 24-6 in the season opener, they lost at home in their last game 21-9 to the Indianapolis Colts. Alex Smith had nearly 300 passing yards with no picks but also had no TD, and the Skins only rushed for 65 yards. The Colts packed the front-line D to stop the run, and they were in the backfield constantly. They have to set up a game-plan for that, as you can be sure the Packers will follow the Colts’ blueprint.

Redskins' RB Rob Kelly has been placed on injured reserve, so if the Redskins are going to control the ball, they will need Adrian Peterson to improve off of his 20 yards on 11 carries in the last week's loss to the Colts.

Basic Stats

This season the Packers rank 17th in the league in total offense, and 24th in total defense and the Redskins rank 12th in total offense and 1st in total defense.

Last Meeting

These teams have not played since the 2016 season where the Redskins crushed the Packers 42-24 getting the easy ATS win as a -3 home favorite.

Sagarin Rankings

Green Bay Packers: 22.32
Washington Redskins: 18.28

Injury Report

PACKERS

[WR] 09/04/2018 - Jake Kumerow IR ( Shoulder )
[RB] 09/16/2018 - Aaron Jones is probable Sunday vs. Washington ( Suspension Served )
[S] 09/16/2018 - Josh Jones is "?" Sunday vs. Washington ( Ankle )
[LB] 09/16/2018 - Oren Burks is "?" Sunday vs. Washington ( Shoulder )
[WR] 09/12/2018 - Trevor Davis IR ( Hamstring )
[CB] 09/16/2018 - Kevin King injured last game, is "?" Sunday vs. Washington ( Groin )
[LB] 08/10/2018 - Jake Ryan IR ( Knee )

REDSKINS

G] 09/04/2018 - Arie Kouandjio IR ( Quad )
[G] 09/04/2018 - Tyler Catalina IR ( Shoulder )
[RB] 08/11/2018 - Derrius Guice IR ( ACL )
[TE] 08/11/2018 - Manasseh Garner IR ( ACL )
[WR] 08/15/2018 - Robert Davis IR ( Knee )
[S] 09/16/2018 - Troy Apke is "?" Sunday vs. Green Bay ( Hamstring )
[T] 09/16/2018 - Trent Williams injured last game, is "?" Sunday vs. Green Bay ( Knee )
[WR] 09/12/2018 - Cam Sims IR ( Ankle )
[WR] 09/12/2018 - Trey Quinn IR ( Ankle )
[WR] 09/16/2018 - Maurice Harris is "?" Sunday vs. Green Bay ( Concussion )
[G] 09/16/2018 - Brandon Scherff injured last game, is "?" Sunday vs. Green Bay ( Knee )
[RB] 09/16/2018 - Rob Kelley left last game, is "?" Sunday vs. Green Bay ( Toe )

Get more details: Green Bay at Washington NFL Match-Up

Packers at Redskins NFL Key Betting Trends/Angles

  • GB is 1-4 ATS in their last five games
  • GB is 9-4 ATS in their previous 13 games in September
  • GB has an Over record of 24-7 in their last 31 games
  • WASH is 5-1 ATS in their previous six games after a loss
  • WASH is 4-1 ATS in their last five games after an ATS loss
  • WASH has an Under record of 6-0 in their previous six games

Head to Head Trends

The Packers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games against the Redskins.

The home team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last five games between these teams.

Next Game Packers vs. Bills
Redskins @ Saints

Packers at Redskins Prediction ATS 9/23/18

The Packers secondary was exploited for 412 yards last week, and I expect much more of the same this week against the Redskins. Washington has passed the ball well this season with Alex Smith completing 71% of his attempts with no INTs. He’ll be facing the beat up secondary of the Packers who will be without the services of starting CB Kevin King and may be without SS Josh Jones and backup CB Davon House. Green Bay is fortunate to be undefeated this season with a late comeback against the Bears at home to escape with a win and a poor performance by the Vikings kicker to salvage a tie last week, but I believe the luck runs this week in their first road start.

Free Pick: 
Take the Washington +2.5

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