Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings Pick - Odds and ATS Predictions
Sunday night’s featured matchup on NBC sends the 4-5-1 Green Bay Packers on the road as underdogs against the NFC North rival 5-4-1 Minnesota Vikings in a slated 8:20 p.m. kickoff at US Bank Stadium.
Green Bay at Minnesota Game Overview
Green Bay opened its season with a 29-29 tie against the Vikings as a slight 1.5-point home underdog, and it has been a struggle ever since. The Packers have yet to win two games in a row, and they are coming off a costly 27-24 loss to Seattle on Nov. 15 as three-point underdogs on the road. They have matched their overall record of 4-5-1 against the spread, and the total has gone OVER in six of the ten games. Green Bay is 0-5 SU on the road this season with a 1-3-1 record ATS.
For a good portion of Aaron Rodgers’ career in Green Bay, he has been able to carry his team to victory even when it was not at its best. The future Hall of Famer continues to play at a rather high level with 3,073 yards passing, and 19 touchdown throws against just one interception, but it has added up to a losing record in the standings. Green Bay is averaging 290 passing yards per game, but the balance in this offense has been affected by its inability to run the ball consistently. The offense is scoring as many points (24.7) as the defense has allowed (24.3).
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Minnesota had a great chance to close the gap with Chicago for the top spot in the division, but it came up short last Sunday night against the Bears in a 25-20 loss as a 2.5-point road underdog. The Vikings have failed to cover in three of their last five games including a PUSH in a win against Arizona at home on Oct. 14 as 10-point favorites. The total went OVER 44 points against Chicago, and it has gone OVER in three of those last five contests.
There is no doubt that Kirk Cousins has revitalized Minnesota's passing game with 2,947 passing yards and 19 touchdown throws in his first ten games at the helm. The offense is averaging 279 yards a game through the air, but it is even farther down the list than Green Bay running the ball with just 84.7 rushing yards per outing. Running back Dalvin Cook is back in the starting lineup on a regular basis, but he was held to 12 yards on nine carries in the recent loss to the Bears.
Green Bay at Minnesota Betting Trends
- The Packers have gone 4-8-1 ATS in their last 13 games with a 1-5-1 record ATS in their previous seven road games. The total has gone OVER the closing line in 14 of their last 17 games played on the road.
- The Vikings are 4-7-2 ATS in their last 13 games overall, and they have failed to cover in five of their last seven games at home. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five home games.
- Minnesota has the 4-1-1 SU edge in the last six meetings of this classic NFC North tilt, and it has covered in five of its last seven home games against Green Bay. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the previous five meetings in Minnesota.
Green Bay at Minnesota Prediction 11/25/2018
Push comes to shove in this heated division showdown in what is basically a playoff elimination game for each team. The Vikings have had the recent edge in the series, and they also have the advantage of playing Sunday night's meeting in their own backyard.
I still see Rodgers keeping Green Bay in this one all night long, so I will take the extra half point on the field goal spread in the Packers’ favor in a game they still might win SU.