Green Bay Packers at Cleveland Browns Free NFL Pick - Betting Odds

Date: 
December 10, 1:00 PM EST
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Packers -3
Total: 
40.5

Green Bay kept their playoff hopes alive with a 26-20 OT victory over Tampa Bay last Sunday. Cleveland remained winless with a 19-10 loss to the Chargers last week.

The Packers were able to get their running game going last week to the tune of 199 yards. Rookie RB Jamaal Williams led the way with 113 yards on 21 carries and fellow rookie RB Aaron Jones scored on a 20-yard run in OT for the win. The Browns’ run defense has been very good all season (96.9 ypg, 3.3 ypc) so they won’t be a pushover. QB Brett Hundley ran for 66 yards against the Bucs, which are almost as many yards as he had passing. The Browns pass defense has been leaky to say the least and Hundley must take advantage of it. WR Davante Adams has been Hundley’s main target since he assumed the QB duties but he and the team would be well served if he doesn’t forget about WRs Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb. Green Bay has allowed a whopping 42 sacks and need to keep rookie DE Myles Garrett (team-high 5 sacks in limited action) away from Hundley.

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Cleveland’s offense got a boost from the return of WR Josh Gordon last week but he had only 4 catches (85 yards) on 11 targets. He immediately becomes the top receiver on the team but rookie QB DeShone Kizer was forcing the ball in his direction too much. He threw another pick against Los Angeles and lost a fumble, giving him 20 TOs on the year. The Packers defense has done a nice job lately in forcing TOs and they will be looking to strip Kizer of the ball whenever they get close to him. The pass defense allows 243 ypg and has given up 19 TD passes on the year but they have also intercepted 9 passes. Kizer has been sacked 27 times and the o-line has given up 39 on the year. Look for LBs Nick Perry and Clay Matthews to create some havoc on passing downs against this group that is really missing LT Joe Thomas. The Browns say they are committed to the run but they frequently abandon it. Green Bay limits opponents to 3.9 ypc and hasn’t allowed a run longer than 35 yards in 2017 so I don’t see Cleveland suddenly finding their groove on the ground this week.

Green Bay Packers at Cleveland Browns Prediction

The Packers’ playoff hopes may be slim but QB Aaron Rodgers is eligible to be activated next week. Whether he returns is another question but Green Bay needs to win this week first. The Browns have averaged only 13.3 ppg over the last 9 weeks and even the return of Gordon isn’t going to change the fact that this is a bad offense. Hundley has been very up and down this year but he should be able to make some big plays in the passing game and his scrambling ability should help also. The number is only a FG and I expect the Packers to keep their faint hopes alive with another win this week.

Free Pick: 
Take the Packers -3