NFL FOOTBALL PICKS ATS - FREE WEEKLY EXPERT PREDICTIONS

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Thursday Sep 22, 2016

Both teams come in hot off a fast start and while you would think that this game would be the early stumbling block without Brady, New England appears to be a team possessed in its mission to win these first four games to prove a point to the entire league.

It is not all that often that you can get New England and a few points in a game at Gillette Stadium, so I am jumping on the opportunity with a “best bet” pick that the Patriots move to 3-0 behind whichever quarterback is calling the plays.

Free Pick: Take The Patriots +2.5 -DS (Win)

Monday Sep 19, 2016

Philadelphia did have the benefit of playing Cleveland at home on opening day, but it still looked good on both sides of the ball while Chicago’s struggles on offense appeared to have carried over from last year when it was ranked 21st in the NFL in total yards and 23rd in scoring.

I went with the Eagles last week laying 3.5 points at home and I am going to ride them again with the three points on the road this week as my “best bet” pick for Monday night.

Free Pick: Take the Eagles at +3 -DS (Win)

Sunday Sep 18, 2016

Neither team in this division clash was at its best on opening day, but they both found ways to come away with a win. I would expect a much better showing from both under the prime time lights of US Bank Stadium, but in the end I still have the slight edge going to Green Bay as the better all-around team.

Look for Rodgers to have a big night in Minnesota’s new digs with the memory of that late-season loss to the Vikings last season that cost Green Bay the NFC North title still pretty fresh in his head. Lay the points on the road team with the Packers winning both SU and ATS.

Free Pick: Take the Green Bay Packers -2 -DS

Sunday Sep 18, 2016

Oakland has failed miserably in the recent past as a favourite but I like them this week. They have a better offense; especially the o-line and can find the end zone from in close. While their defense was exposed last week, I think they will do better against an offense that has struggled on third down and in the red zone for over their past 10 games. Atlanta is 2-8 SU over that span and I expect the Raiders to improve to 2-0 in their home opener.

Free Pick: Take the Raiders -2.5 (JS) Loss

Sunday Sep 18, 2016

Last year Indianapolis squared off with Denver and the Broncos were considered a lock to win the game. The Colts would come up with the victory. Now the consensus finds themselves a bit more divided about the next edition in this budding rivalry. However, what Denver’s defense has done as of recent is historic. The Broncos defense in consecutive games dating back to the 2015 Playoffs have shut down Pittsburgh, New England with Tom Brady and now Carolina twice. Good defensive teams do not pull of feats like this but great ones certainly do. Offense win games and as Denver has vividly shown us, defense wins championship. The Broncos will dictate the pace of this game and absolutely dominate the Colts who are still reeling from Detroit’s invasion of Lucas Oil Stadium. Scoring will likely be kept to a minimum contrary to popular belief as Denver wins games with their defense. The result should be no different here.

Free Pick: Take Denver -6.5 (Win) and Under 44 (Win)

Sunday Sep 18, 2016

You can’t make a living taking divisional road favorites but I think the Ravens rate a play here. They are 7-1 ATS in their last eight visits to Cleveland and they have a lot more talent on both sides of the ball. I can see their defense dominating an offense that has a new QB and doesn’t do anything particularly well. While the Baltimore offense is far from dynamic, Flacco has the arm to hurt this team deep and the addition of WR Mike Wallace (66-yard TD last week) allows the deep ball to be incorporated back into the Ravens offense. I think it will be a long day for the Browns this Sunday.

Free Pick: Take the Ravens -6.5 JS

Sunday Sep 18, 2016

Washington is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 games they have hosted Dallas. Cousins played very well at home last season and I expect him to bounce back from a subpar performance. He wasn’t sacked in the opener and faces a team limited in pass rushers. The Skins have to stay with the run as they became too one-dimensional vs. Pittsburgh. Also, look for CB Josh Norman to stay with Bryant after WR Antonio Brown lit up the Redskins without Norman covering him.

Free Pick: Take the Redskins -2.5 - JS

Sunday Sep 18, 2016

The Saints have always had two issues that have held them back from going to the next level. The first issue is that the Saints do not play well outside of the Superdome. New Orleans has lost many games they should have won both in the regular season and in the playoffs when they were away from home. Second, New Orleans has had and continues to deal with many woes on defense. Look no further than the Saints producing 500 yards of offense and 34 points and losing….Simply put the lack of defense by the Saints combined with the Giants’ home-field advantage should be enough for us to lay the visiting points. While this game may in fact be yet another shootout, the Giants have the intangibles in their favor. Expect this game to not be as much of a shootout as we saw last year, when there was over 100 total points scored and over 1,000 yards of offense.

Free Pick: Take the New York Giants -4.5 -KF (Loss)

Thursday Sep 15, 2016

Neither of these evenly matched teams can afford to fall into a 0-2 hole right out of the gate, but you would probably have to give the slight edge to Buffalo for this Thursday night’s matchup given its recent success in this AFC East clash.

BetOnline is dangling an awfully low total line in this game, but I still cannot see either offense scoring more than 20 points on the night so I am going to bite on the UNDER 40.5 as my “best bet” pick.

Free Pick: Take the Under 40.5 - DS

Monday Sep 12, 2016

Both of these teams start the season with something to prove. The Steelers are trying to prove that they are a Super Bowl caliber team and the Redskins are trying to prove that last year’s run to a division title was not a fluke.

Laying points on the road in a season opener can be a risky bet, but I really like Pittsburgh’s chances to come into FedEx Field and post an impressive win in front of a prime time audience on Monday Night Football. The Steelers have just too much firepower to be contained by a Washington defense that was one of the worst in the league last year in yards allowed.

Free Pick: Take Pittsburgh -3 -DS

Sunday Sep 11, 2016

You can talk all you want about the genius of Bill Belichick as the Patriots’ head coach given his proven ability to win with the players he has on the field, but the fact remains that Jimmy Garoppolo is no Tom Brady. That may not matter nearly as much in New England’s next three games, but it will against one of the most balanced teams in the league playing on opening night in front of the home-town crowd.

The actual spread in this game should be wider so I will gladly lay the six points with a “best bet” play on the Cardinals to win and cover on Sunday night

Free Pick: Take Arizona -6 - DS

Sunday Sep 11, 2016

The Giants know they can score points but can they stop anybody? They get a break this week as Prescott doesn’t figure to be as dynamic as he was in the preseason and Spagnuolo should be able to confuse him with multiple looks. The return of DE Jason Pierre-Paul and addition of DE Olivier Vernon should spark the pass rush and I see NY eking out a victory behind Manning and their improved defense.

Free Pick: Take the Giants +1

Sunday Sep 11, 2016

Both of these teams can score and while Oakland’s defense is ascending, the offenses should dominate this contest. The Saints didn’t make nearly enough adjustments to their squad and will be transitioning back to a 4-3 defense. It will take time for all the pieces to jell and I expect the Raiders to move the ball at will against this group. Look for a high-scoring affair at the Superdome in this one.

Free Pick: Take the Over 51 -JS

Sunday Sep 11, 2016

The Jets are notoriously tough when at home, plus they also have a defensive unit that can cause calamity for virtually any opposition. The Jets in East Rutherford are far more ferocious as they play every team tough, to get them with points here is a true value play especially considering the fact line movements suggest that much of the public rather spot points with a road favorite. Dicey play in Week One, the Jets offer more upside.

Free Pick: New York Jets +2.5 - KF

Sunday Sep 11, 2016

This won’t be the prettiest game of the weekend and I do expect it to be low scoring. Jackson should be able to improve the Browns offense but needs Gordon and a good RB to do it. Wentz will be doing a lot of handing off in this matchup but Cleveland knows that and should be ready.

Free Pick: Take the Under 41 -JS

Sunday Sep 11, 2016

This game can easily blow up in to a shootout and in potential shootout situations, the academic move is to always take the points. In this instance we can take back the home team with nearly a touchdown and we like this situation given the personnel that lies in Jacksonville’s ranks. Many will judge this game from a superficial angle alone, assuming that Green Bay cannot lose to Jacksonville by virtue of their namesakes. The same prognostication was assumed when the Vikings and Packers were jostling for the NFC North in 2015 when Green Bay had Aaron Rodgers and Minnesota had Teddy Bridgewater at the helm, yet the VIkes were the ones to win the division. Green Bay is one of the most prestigious names in the NFL and thus a contrarian approach can be utilized here to fade the public and lay the Packers when they are almost certainly spotting more points than required.

Free Pick: Take Jacksonville +5 - KF

Thursday Sep 08, 2016

Both of these teams will be looking to take control of this game on the defensive side of the ball in what should remain a close battle until the final gun. While Denver has the edge playing at Mile High, Carolina still has the better playmakers on offense especially at the quarterback position.

In the end, I do believe that Cam Newton will be the difference. He comes into this game with something to prove despite being named league MVP. I think he goes on to help his team make a few more plays than Denver that prove to be the difference both SU and ATS as a three-point road favorite.

Free Pick: Take Carolina -3

Sunday Feb 07, 2016

The Broncos may be the sentimental pick with Manning at the helm, but the best team usually wins this game and I have the Panthers holding up the Vince Lombardi Trophy on Feb. 7 while covering the 4.5 points at the betting window.

Free Pick: Take the Carolina Panthers -4.5

Sunday Feb 07, 2016

The Broncos just don't give up a lot of points with only New England and Pittsburgh scoring over 20 points against them in their last nine games. The Panthers have allowed over 20 points three times in their last 10 games but all three of the opponents had superior passing attacks compared to Denver's unit. Both teams have proven that they need to stick with a game shortening running attack to have any shot at winning.

Free Pick: Take the UNDER 44.5

Sunday Jan 24, 2016

The Panthers are 9-0 SU at home this year and 8-1 ATS. They also lead the NFL in scoring and score even more at home. They can score in bunches (as evidenced by last week) and their defense scores points and sets up the offense with short fields. Arizona is 7-1 SU on the road this year and will certainly be a tough out. Both of these defenses are good but the Panthers are a little better. Arizona has a better offense but Palmer was shaky at times last week. He can expect a lot of pressure in this encounter and doesn't move real well in the pocket. The number is pretty low and I'll take a Carolina team that is unbeatable at home this year and has a defense that can control the game even if the offense has a few hiccups.

Free Pick: Take the Carolina Panthers -3

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