NFL FOOTBALL PICKS ATS - FREE WEEKLY EXPERT PREDICTIONS

The big difference to me in this game is that Josh McCown will be the starter. Statistically his numbers haven’t been as good as Cody Kessler, but the team seems to some extra jump in their step when he is behind center. Early in the season he a good connection with WR Corey Coleman and in Coleman’s third game back I think the timing should be back to what it was in Week 2 when Coleman caught 8 balls for 105 yards and 2 TDs. I also think that the defense will do OK against the visitor who will unlikely be able to exploit the Cleveland’s biggest weakness their run defense. The Giants are dealing with some offensive line injuries and even with better health they struggled to move the ball on the ground ranking 31st in rushing yards per game . Can the Browns win this game? Probably not, but New York has not won any of their games by more than 7 points this season.

Despite their loss last week, the Saints are still in the NFC South race. They host the Lions next week before playing 3 of their last 4 on the road. They need this win and can’t afford a loss. Los Angeles is playing out the string and aren’t serious playoff contenders. I expect a rested, focused New Orleans squad to score early and often and get a badly-needed cover at home.

The Bears are 2-8 and are amongst the most injury-ravaged teams in the league. On top of that, they are missing 2 key players to suspension. Throw in the fact Barkley is making his first career start and things don’t look good in the windy city. Despite last week’s loss, Tennessee remains in the AFC South picture and still plays Houston at home in Week 17. With Murray and Mariota hot right now, I see the Titans running away from a team, that while game, just doesn’t have the horses to compete right now. Chicago is also 3-12 SU in their last 15 home games.

San Francisco allows a league-worst 31.3 points per game and has lost by 12+ points in 7 of their 9 losses. Their defense is a sieve vs. the run and that plays right into Miami’s hands. With the weaknesses of the AFC North and South divisions, the Dolphins are battling 3 AFC West teams for 3 playoff positions. They play 3 of their next 4 games on the road and need this win to keep their playoff hopes alive. I don’t see them easing off the gas in this one and despite the 7.5 points, I’ll take them against a 49ers team that has to travel across the country and play an early game in an attempt to thwart a club-record 10th- -straight loss.

It’s hard to convince anyone to buy in Cincinnati at this point be that they have been very inefficient and a liability up to this point. However, if there was a time to opt in, now would be it. The fact remains true that Cincinnati has won their last six against Baltimore heading in to this affair, so it safe to say the records can be tossed out as the Bengals likely bode the psychological edge. This is a prime chance for Cincy to get themselves out of their rut. While Cincinnati’s playoff aspirations may have seemed to be placed on ice, a win here would be great for morale if nothing else. Given the fact the Bengals come with added points, they may be the stronger of two options in this market as Baltimore’s inconsistencies makes them a risky play spotting these points. Let us not forget the Ravens have also been on a bad stretch as they are just 2-4 in their last six contests.

The Jets enter in the perfect position to sneak up on the Patriots. The Jets’ stock has plummeted only further with each episode of the soap opera surrounding this team. The Jets need a win to hang their hat on this season and nothing would typify this better than defeating their hated foe who seems destined for bigger and better things. The Jets’ season is wrapped up, now it is all for pride. The Jets have won the last meeting between both sides and you have to imagine this is the game they will enter with reckless abandon. While New England has the momentum and assuredly stronger unit, the Jets have home field advantage. New York is known to get to behind their teams whenever it’s a rivalry scenario against anything to do with Boston, Massachusetts and the entire region known as New England. The Jets Nation will be out in droves for this contest and likely spark the engine of the Jets who have been depleted as of late. While New England may win this game, it will certainly be a hard fought one against a hated rival.

Both teams have identical even .500 records coming into this one and in dire need of a win. Both usually have to rely heavily on a passing game behind two gunslingers at quarterback, but with Luck most likely out of the lineup we could be in store for the Big Ben show on Thursday night.

This is definitely a wait and see game; however with the line shifting up to seven points after the Steelers opened as 2.5-point road favorites it is pretty much a given that Tolzien will be under center for Indianapolis. If that ends up being the case, take Pittsburgh on the road to cover against the toothless Colts.

The main concern that I have in this game is the health of the Redskins offensive line. If Nsekhe can play the majority of the game I think that Washington will have plenty of opportunities in the passing game. That would probably turn this game into who has the ball last wins type of match. Because I can’t forecast how that is going to work out, I’m going to get some safety in a teaser bet. Check around a bit there are some 7’s still on the board. Wash +13 and Over 45.

Detroit has all the momentum. As mentioned they enter this game with wins in five of their last six. In comparison Minnesota has a single win in their last five games. They should have all the confidence in the world facing a team that they have already defeated this season on the road. The Lions are on a roll at home winning four straight with the only loss this season at Ford’s Field by one point to the Titans in an injury filled game in Week 2. The host is undervalued.

The fact that this game is being played in Mexico City could actually benefit the Raiders, who are a perfect 5-0 ATS this season when they are not playing at the Oakland Coliseum. The only concern could be their even 2-2 record when closing as favorites.

Both teams come into this game with winning records, but I still give the clear edge to Oakland in a SU win. While the Raiders have had little problem scoring points lately, I am going with the OVER 46 as my “best bet” with both teams having success lighting up the scoreboard this Monday night in an effort to put on a show for a neighbors to the south.

Green Bay has found ways to turn things around in the past and despite its current form you would have to think that it can still turn things around this season starting with a SU win on the road this Sunday. Just about every one of the Redskins’ games this season has remained tight to the final gun (win or lose) and this matchup has the makings of another close finish.

Look for Aaron Rodgers to play one of his better games this season as the Packers rally to get that much needed win.

The Seahawks appear to be rolling right now as they have lost only 1 game in their last 7. They also have one of the best home field advantages, a surging QB and a defense, while not the elite unit of seasons past, that can still get the job done when it is needed. I expect Wentz to have trouble with the noise and this defense and for Wilson to continue his hot play. The number is less than a converted TD and I expect Seattle to stay on their course to the playoffs.

Miami is playing well right now and a 2nd-straight game in California won’t affect them. Tannehill has responded well to the tutelage of HC Adam Gase over the past month and Ajayi is punishing defenses. On the flip side, the Rams have scored 10 points or fewer in their last 3 games. Gurley is finding no room and the passing game lacks dynamic performers. With the spread a non-factor, I like the Dolphins to get their 5th-straight win this weekend.

Over the past 4 weeks these two teams have combined for 1 win, 1 tie and 5 losses (Arizona had a bye). Minnesota still has a decent defense but they are starting to wear down due to attrition and knowing they have little margin for error. The Cardinals have scored 23+ points in 4 of their past 5 games as they can run and pass the ball, although with some inconsistency. This is a must-win game for both clubs so I expect desperation to play a big part in the outcome. I’ll side with the visitor in this one as they have many more weapons on offense and are playing a little better as of late.

The Giants are ever more vulnerable for an overreaction after pulling off the sensational win on Monday night for national audiences. Generally the winner of a Monday night is a public favorite the following week and we are seeing this take shape with Big Blue. The Giants also own wins over Philadelphia, New Orleans and Baltimore at home so there is a high level of expectation when the G-Men are home. As a result of a surge of New York successes coupled with some appalling defeats of Chicago, the varying directions in the stock of both teams is guiding the number here. Given the Bears 0-5 road record, the Monsters of the Midway are poised to be the next sacrifice to be witnessed at MetLife Stadium. Steady steam on New York suggests that Chicago cannot be bought for any price which actually plays in to our favor. The Giants are not a good enough team even if they have the victories and the offense in sync to back up this price. The Giants’ offense is still suspect and given the fact they can easily have an off night, more than a touchdown is way too much to spot here.

We are going to take a contrarian angle and fade a heavy lean that is most likely the result of a reaction to what transpired on Monday Night. The loser of the Monday Night game is often a popular fade in the corresponding week. However, Cincy could have easily won the game as fast as they lost it. While the record for the Bengals is tough to stomach, bettors should be abreast of the fact that the Bengals are 2-1 at Paul Brown Stadium, this year. Buffalo rightfully so should be casted as an underdog in this affair as this team has accumulated at least 25 points in the last three games and still could not find a way to finish off with a victory. Buffalo’s offense is still prone to stalling at any given point as they had immense trouble getting their rushing attack started. While Cincy’s defense may roll out a red carpet, Buffalo’s defense seems to be even more accommodating.

The Saints have flourished ATS as underdogs this season and they appear to be playing their best ball on the road. Carolina’s inconsistencies from one week to the next have made this team a betting nightmare this season.

Conventional wisdom might dictate that the Panthers even the score this Sunday following the earlier loss in New Orleans, but I still like the Saints’ chances to keep this a three point game either way. I will take the four points on the road and bank on New Orleans staying perfect ATS this season as underdogs.

The Bengals have not played up to expectations this season, but they still have the ability to score points behind a very balanced offense. The Giants have played much more consistent the past three weeks, but this remains a team that can quickly go off the rails at a moment’s notice.

I think a well-rested Cincinnati team is actually in perfect position to take advantage of a New York team that could be poised for a letdown after almost blowing last week’s lead. Take the points and take the Bengals on the road in a game I have them winning SU. Note: The line has since moved to Bengals -1, but David still thinks that their is value in backing Cincinnati. 

The line is no fluke, Pittsburgh has a robust home field advantage especially when the games are of significance later in the season. The book has taken in this in to consideration and that’s why the price is what you see here. This market is no gift and is likely fool’s gold for any that dare touch it. Dallas has won seven games but some of those wins could have easily been losses, i.e. Philadelphia. Needless to say the Cowboys may be stepping in to a situation where they are facing an opponent looking for a staple win this season as a lot of hype and scrutiny followed the Steelers in to this season after they were seemingly heisted of a Super Bowl berth last year due to an injury to Antonio Brown by way of the antics of Cincinnati’s Vontae Burfict. Pittsburgh will enter this contest hungry and perhaps expose the Dallas secondary who has been filled to the brink with all kinds of injuries. An offense-oriented game favors the Steelers as Pittsburgh’s could be the best in the game when firing at all cylinders.

The Falcons are playing very well right now, especially on offense. In wins over Green Bay and Tampa Bay over the past 2 weeks, they have put up 76 points. Ryan is playing at a very high level compared to Wentz and I expect his play to be the difference in this outcome. With the spread being only 1 point, I see Atlanta improving to 5-1 on the road this season.