NFL FOOTBALL PICKS ATS - FREE WEEKLY EXPERT PREDICTIONS
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I don't normally like betting on bad teams, but the Redskins provide a lot of value in this match-up with the points they are receiving. I would not be surprised if Washington challenges for the upset, so I will back them with confidence this week.
The combination of the 49ers’ injury problems and the Eagles’ urgency to get in the win-column before their season officially capsizes could make Philly an appeal underdog choice this week after they flopped three weeks in a row as the favorite. You can never completely dismiss the heart of a champion, and it could surface here. At some point, however, you either have the horses on offense, or you don't. And it's going to take a special spot to forecast success for the Eagles' offense, as I don’t see it surfacing this week. I’ll lay the number on the 49ers.
I really like the Bears +3 at Bovada potential with Foles at quarterback, and I also think this match-up against the Colts is favorable. I would expect a low scoring game with the Bears controlling things late.
Baltimore is 21-3 with Lamar Jackson starting at QB, but 0-2 against Kansas City. Also, the Chiefs are coming off a less-than-wonderful performance last week against the Chargers, but we expect better this week. And we're getting three and a hook? We'll take KC and the points.
I believe Washington is definitely capable of the upset in this game and just needs a few big plays on offense to make it happen. I would not be surprised to see Washington's defense come up big similar to their Week 1 efforts against Philadelphia. The Browns are 0-5 ATS in their last five games going back to 2019, and I think that streak continues.
(Bet on NFL Futures at Bet365)
San Francisco 49ers (+400) A lot of what they do well doesn’t jump off the screen and they lost some pieces, along with some contractual disputes emerging with some key pieces on the team. But still, what some suspected could happen someday occurred a little ahead of schedule, as the Niners finally caught some breaks on the injury-front and showed what they can do at close to full-power. I can understand the sentiment that their formula for success isn’t so iron-clad that they can’t slip up, especially with other contenders in the conference making a big push this season. But something tells me our eyes don’t deceive us and San Fran rightfully has earned the right to be considered the top team in the NFC.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+450) I like what Bruce Arians is doing in Tampa, particularly the way they played at times in the second half of last season. And this was with a QB who threw 30 picks. Get Tom Brady in there with all those weapons and we could see a surge on offense in a big way. That could bring the rest of the team up with him. Any number of things could go wrong with a quarterback who is 43. But this pick isn’t made in the spirit of them simply getting Brady. Their roster looks as strong as it has since they won the Super Bowl all those years ago. Brady has two top receivers in Chris Godwin and Mike Evans to work with and it would actually be a surprise if Tampa wasn’t in the postseason making some noise this season.
New Orleans Saints (+500) You have one of the more talent-rich rosters in the sport, along with a Hall of Fame quarterback who has Father Time leaning against him in a major way. The last two seasons have provided ultra-painful moments in the postseason, but the championship window is still open. A healthier Alvin Kamara, along with the newly-acquired Emmanuel Sanders should have this offense clicking, as Brees works behind what should again be a great line. The defense sees Malcolm Jenkins back in the fold and how the pass-defense performs will be a key part of their success. Even if Brees does slip a bit and the NFC South has gotten a little tougher, I see them in the mix late again this season.
Seattle Seahawks (+1000) A little further down the list, this could be the season where the Seahawks put it together. After seeing their defense spiral a little last year, look for that to be a major point of emphasis this season. Their linebacking corps should be tip-top, but their pass-defense has a ways to go—not a good thing in this conference. After they won the Super Bowl, they’ve won ten games in five of the six subsequent seasons. They never really fell off and I think a surge could be in the cards. With some better health on the running back front, in addition to more growth from receivers like young DK Metcalf, Russell Wilson should be in good shape as he makes another run in the postseason.
Kansas City Chiefs (+300): Getting a mega deal and coming off Super Bowl glory might lead some to expect the Chiefs to lose their razor’s edge this season. I wouldn’t be so sure. Nothing has occurred to appreciably alter their recipe for success—a formula that is built to deliver time and again. They might not be as hungry as other contenders on this list, but is anyone really questioning whether they’ll have a good season and be a factor in the postseason again this year? The thing about the Chiefs is that what they do well isn't something that is going to inexplicably go away. Having a winner at QB, a stocked cast of burners and a playmaking defense that is getting better doesn't just suddenly all fall flat without a good reason, and there doesn't appear to be one.
Baltimore Ravens (+325) Seeing Lamar Jackson and the Ravens come up short two seasons ago in the playoffs after a super-strong finish to the season was one thing. Seeing them fall badly to the Titans at home as huge favorites coming off a 14-win season in the divisional round of the playoffs is the last thing we remember this team for. It was definitely a horrible look. But one slipup, however bad it was, doesn't erase the fact that up until that point, they looked to be the class of the league. With an axe to grind this season, something tells me not to count out this group. Granted, even if they have another huge regular season where they’re blowing almost everyone out, it will be nervous-time come the playoffs. But look at it this way, if they had gone on and cleaned everyone’s clock en route to winning the Super Bowl, the price would be so low on them now that it wouldn’t be worth it.
Indianapolis Colts (+1100) Granted, watching Philip Rivers last season didn't inspire much confidence. Nevertheless, a change of scenery and less dysfunction around him could do wonders. It's a really packed roster on both sides of the ball, and Rivers, long hungry for some postseason distinction, will have a ton to work with on offense. Working behind a much better line with more continuity could really take this offense to another level, and I expect some good things from Indy this season. It’s not just the boost they get at quarterback, as other areas of this team are filled with players coming into their own.
Tennessee Titans (+1400) This could be one of the better value picks on the board. A few things we saw last season were not mirages—coach Vrabel’s handiwork with this bunch, Tannehill lifting the offense to new heights, and the late-season rampaging of dominant running back Derrick Henry, who put this team on his back only to be stopped by eventual Super Bowl champion Kansas City in the AFC Championship. I’m not sure what’s behind the sentiment that they will fade this season, but I wouldn’t be so quick to relegate them to the scrap heap just yet. Sure, it might not be easy to see them getting to the big one, as they had to scrap and claw to get into the playoffs, then catching a nice wave of momentum. Still, if anyone else slips and they build on the form they showed late, they look to be a definite contender.