NFL FOOTBALL PICKS ATS - FREE WEEKLY EXPERT PREDICTIONS

Jacksonville lost to Tennessee 9-6 in Week 3 as a heavy 10-point home favorite so you can see why the total is set so low for Thursday’s rematch. You probably cannot go wrong with a play on the UNDER this time around despite the low number and the SU lean is towards a Tennessee sweep.

The Titans are still in the AFC playoff race, and they have shown a knack for winning games. I still think this will be a three-point game either way, so I am taking Jacksonville and the 4.5 points.

The overall impact of losing Smith at quarterback was rather evident in the recent loss to Dallas. The Redskins have gotten the best of things in this series in recent years, especially on the road, but the Eagles are still too good of a team to go down without a fight.

I like Philly SU, but it has a habit of making things as tough as possible on itself win or lose, so I will take the 6.5 points and take the Redskins ATS.

New England remains a perfect 5-0 when playing at home this season, while the Vikings are worse on the road than they are at home. If Rhodes is forced to sit, Josh Gordon and Julian Edelman have the ability to pick on any secondary with Tom Brady throwing to them. We expect this to be a close game, but we're siding with the home Patriots this week to do enough to get the win and the cover.

For a team like the Lions who allowed 10 sacks in Week 9 against the Vikings, who knows how many sacks Aaron Donald will rack up in this week’s matchup. Donald is an absolute freak, leading the league in sacks with 14.5 as an interior defensive lineman. There’s not much hope for the Lions in this matchup as we’re taking the Rams on the road this week.

The present number on the board is one that is very friendly to back the underdog Cleveland in this contest. The -6 hook with Houston would create an illusion of an easy cover if the Texans were to win by a touchdown. However, it likely won’t even come down to that. Cleveland is a dangerous team that still harbors the carefree and free-wheeling mentality of their formerly disenfranchised selves combined with the best talent they have had in years. The combination of these two ingredients makes the Browns a true value play here as they can potentially orchestrate an upset outright to end Houston’s winning streak.

The Saints started this extended run by just beating teams, including a close call against Baltimore on the road in late October. Since then, they have been running over teams with double-digit victories in their last five games. Dallas may be the best team in the watered-down NFC East, but it is just the next team in the way of New Orleans’ quest for the top seed in the NFC.

Lay the points on the road favorite with the Saints posting another double-digit win.

It is safe to say that Monday night is a must win for Tennessee to keep pace in the AFC South Division race, but it will be a tall task to get one against a red-hot Houston team playing this game on its home field. The Titans should still be able to keep this game close to make things interesting right through the fourth quarter.

While my lean in this one is with Tennessee ATS, I am betting that the total stays UNDER 41 points.

This game will be the third-straight home game for the Colts, and it's hard to imagine them having any problems against the Dolphins. While we've seen some upsets this season, we don't expect that to be the case for the Colts who are favored -10 over the Dolphins this week. Take the Colts to win this game easily on Sunday.

The Chiefs and Rams are not only two of the best teams in the NFL, but they are also two of the most exciting teams to watch. There is a reason why the total line for this game resembles a matchup in college football's Mountain West.

You know that each team’s offense is going have success against the opposing team’s defense, so I am going to take the bait with a ‘best bet’ play on the OVER this Monday night.