Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs Pick - Odds and ATS Predictions
The Kansas City Chiefs (6-1) and Denver Broncos (3-4) will renew an ancient AFC West rivalry when the two meet at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, October 28th, 2018 at 1:00 PM ET. The contest will be televised for regional demographics on CBS. The Chiefs have held the upper hand in this Midwest feud as they won the last six meetings between both parties. The Chiefs have also gone 6-0 ATS over this span. Many will recall what transpired on Monday Night Football only a few weeks ago when the Chiefs ventured to the Mile High City and rallied in the fourth quarter to defeat the Broncos 27-23.
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Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs Overview
The Broncos come into this contest on the heels of whacking the Arizona Cardinals in their own stead, defeating them in the desert by a score of 45-10. The Broncos closed as a one-point favorite in this contest, but apparently, that was an afterthought given what they did to the Cards. The victory snapped a four-game skid that includes the aforementioned Kansas City loss and defeats suffered at Baltimore, New York, and one at home against the perhaps the best team in the NFL, the Los Angeles Rams.
Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs only defeat this year came against the New England Patriots in Foxboro that saw Kansas City lose by just a field goal in a 43-40 shootout. Outside of this, Kansas City has more or less walloped everything it has come across as every win except for the Denver victory was by a double-digit margin against the likes of Pittsburgh, the Los Angeles Chargers, Jacksonville, San Francisco, and most recently Cincinnati on Sunday Night Football when Mahomes and company torched the Bengals in a 45-10 beat-down.
Reasons to Back Denver
Rivalry games bring out the unexpected. After all, Denver was the only time to lose to Kansas City this year with any kind of honor. The Chiefs' defense remains a question mark, but their offense continues to make games look easy cause no one has an answer for them. However, Denver's defense is ranked 10th in the league against the pass (229.9 yards per game) and the Broncos rush for 125.1 yards per game on the ground (8th in the NFL). These two ingredients serve as the perfect strategy to keep this game close.
Reasons to Avoid Kansas City
The Chiefs continue to impress, and they did so once again on a national stage. Fading the winner of a primetime game could offer tremendous value in the follow-up. When you look at the manner in which Kansas City won against the Bengals the propensity for the Chiefs to be overvalued here is that much greater.
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Denver at Kansas City Prediction 10/28/2018
The Broncos recall squandering a 10-point lead to Patrick Mahomes and company who led The Tribe back to break Denver's hearts. This will serve as a motivating factor for sure. Furthermore, Denver had Kansas City on the ropes, but by virtue of the performance portfolios of both teams combined with KC's recent scourge of wins in this series, we see Kansas City taking back what is almost certainly an inflated number.