Cleveland Browns at Houston Texans Free Point Spread Pick - Odds - ATS Prediction
Cleveland remained winless after a 17-14 loss to the Jets last week. Houston was outgunned 42-34 by Kansas City last Sunday.
The Browns are averaging only 15.4 ppg because they can’t consistently move the ball or take advantage of red zone opportunities. RB Isaiah Crowell has rushed for 194 yards in 5 games (3.1 ypc average) and is starting to lose touches to RB Duke Johnson. This is the player the Texans have to be wary of. He leads the team in receptions and is tied for the team lead with 3 TDs. Houston’s run defense has been good in 2017 but the losses of DE J.J. Watt and OLB Whitney Mercilus will hurt. Rookie QB DeShone Kizer was pulled last week and has an unsightly 3-9 TD/INT ratio. QB Kevin Hogan replaced him and its unknown as of this writing which of the two will start. Whichever player starts, they are hampered by a lacklustre receiving corps. Another player for the Houston defense to watch is rookie TE David Njoku. He has 12 receptions on the year and 3 TD catches.
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The Texans’ offense has exploded with rookie QB Deshaun Watson under center. He has tossed 9 TD passes over the past 2 weeks and has thrown for 12 TDs against 4 picks on the year. He has found an instant rapport with WR DeAndre Hopkins (35-363-5) and the return of WR Will Fuller has also helped (4 TD catches last 2 games). Cleveland’s secondary has surrendered 11 passing TDs this season already and look for Watson to add to that total this week. Watson has also helped with his legs and has run for 179 yards and 2 scores. RB Lamar Miller is having a solid campaign (4.0 ypc) but faces a defense that is holding opponents to a paltry 2.9 ypc average. With Watson’s passing and running to worry about, Cleveland may not be able to focus too much on Miller.
Public Money Consensus
In this Week 6 of the NFL matchup between Cleveland and Houston have the public slightly thinking that the Texans will cover the 10 point spread with 56% while the over/under bettors believe this game will go over the posted total line of 47 with 71% on board.
Cleveland Browns at Houston Texans Week 6 ATS Pick
This matchup appears to look like a blowout. The Texans have scored 124 points over their past 3 games and while they lost 2 of them, their offense looks explosive. Also, the Browns don’t have the offensive firepower the Patriots and Chiefs possess. Houston’s defense will miss Watt and Mercilus and hasn’t been great with them. However, I feel they can step up and contain an offense with no identity and questions at QB. The Texans are 3-0 ATS in the last 3 games of this series and I expect them to be 4-0 ATS after this Sunday.
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