Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs Pick - Odds and Betting Predictions

October 21, 8:20 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Kansas City -6

Sunday Night Football pits the 4-2 Cincinnati Bengals on the road against the 5-1 Kansas City Chiefs in a matchup between two of the top teams in the AFC this season. Game time on NBC from Arrowhead Stadium is set for 8:20 p.m. (ET).

Cincinnati at Kansas City Game Overview

The Bengals had a golden opportunity to get a leg up in the AFC North Division title race, but let it slip away in the closing minute of last Sunday’s 28-21 loss to bitter rival Pittsburgh as slight 1.5-point home favorites. They dropped to 4-2 both straight-up and against the spread and the total stayed UNDER the closing 49.5-point line after going OVER in their first four games.

Cincinnati got another solid effort from Andy Dalton against the Steelers with 229 yards passing and two touchdown throws while completing 26 of his 42 passing attempts. The offense is going to have to do a much better job running the ball after gaining just 62 yards on 13 rushing attempts. The Bengals' defense got torched for 369 yards through the air, including Antonio Brown's 31-yard catch and ran for a score with 10 seconds left on the clock.

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For the second year in a row, Kansas City started the season with five straight wins before losing in Week 6. It was on the wrong end of a 43-40 shootout against New England last Sunday night. While the Chiefs drop to 5-1 SU, they remain perfect ATS after covering with the 3.5 points on the road. The total went way OVER the closing 59.5-point line after staying UNDER in their previous two games.

There is little doubt that Kansas City knows how to put points on the board. The big question for head coach Andy Reid moving forward from this loss is how to keep its opponents from doing the same thing. The Chiefs are ranked second in the NFL in scoring with 35.8 points per game behind Patrick Mahomes throwing the ball, Kareem Hunt running it and Tyreek Hill catching it. This trio of playmakers is surrounded by an excellent supporting cast. Defensively, Kansas City falls to 27th in points allowed (28.7).

Cincinnati at Kansas City Betting Trends

  • The Bengals are 6-2 both SU and ATS in their last eight games and 5-2 ATS in their previous seven road games. The total has gone OVER in four of their last five games on the road.
  • The Chiefs have gone 5-1 both SU and ATS in their last six games played at home with the total staying UNDER in six of their last seven contests at Arrowhead.
  • Head-to-head in this AFC clash, Cincinnati has won five of the last six meetings SU with the total staying UNDER in five of the previous six meetings in Kansas City.

Get more details: Cincinnati at Kansas City NFL Match-Up

Cincinnati at Kansas City Prediction 10/21/2018

What the big question for Bengals' fans heading into Sunday night's conference showdown would have to be is their team ready for the prime time spotlight as a legitimate playoff contender in the AFC. The Chiefs have already proven they belong in this elite group and they will be ready for an all-out aerial assault that should continue to light up the scoreboard.

Cincinnati should be able to score its fair share of points as well pointing me towards the OVER in this matchup. However, I have Kansas City winning this game by at least seven points as my “best bet” pick.

Free Pick: 
Take Kansas City -6
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