Buffalo Bills vs. Tennessee Titans Week 5 Pick

<p>
The last three times the Bills and Titans have met the game's been decided by exactly one point, including a 13-12 Buffalo victory last season. And Sunday afternoon's meeting in Nashville will probably be close, too. Who do we like here for our free NFL pick?
</p>
<h2>
NFL Betting Odds<br />
</h2>
<p>
Week 5's NFL betting odds opened Tennessee at -3 over Buffalo, with an over/under of right around 38. Both those figures were holding steady in early betting action.
</p>
<h2>
Bills vs. Titans Set-Up<br />
</h2>
<p>
Buffalo is off to a 3-1 start to this season, after taking its first loss last week, a tough 16-10 decision at home to New England. The Bills fell behind early to the Patriots 13-0 in the first quarter, pulled to within 13-10 in the third but could get no closer. However, they did manage to hold on for the cover as seven-point underdogs.
</p>
<p>
On the day Buffalo out-gained New England 375-224, out-rushed the Patriots 135-74, held a 23-11 advantage in first downs and won the time of possession by a 33-27 split. But the Bills also had a punt blocked, missed a field goal, and lost the turnover battle 4-1, basically resulting in a minus-13 points differential.
</p>
<p>
Buffalo starting quarterback Josh Allen left last week's game with a possible concussion, and his status for this game is uncertain. Back-up Matt Barkley didn't look too bad in relief last week and will get the call Sunday if Allen can't go.
</p>
<p>
The Bills opened this season with wins over the Jets, Giants, and Cincinnati, three teams who are a combined 2-9 so far this season.
</p>
<div class="promo">
<a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/nfl/baltimore-ravens-vs-pittsburgh-s… out our Ravens at Steelers NFL Week 5 Prediction</a>
</div>
<p>
Tennessee, meanwhile, is 2-2, after beating the Falcons in Atlanta last week 24-10. The Titans took a 7-0 lead three minutes into the game on a Marcus Mariota-AJ Brown 55-yard throw-catch-run touchdown connection, pushed their advantage to 24-7 by halftime, and held on from there for the outright victory as three-point underdogs.
</p>
<p>
On the day Tennessee got out-gained by the Falcons 422-365 but out-rushed Atlanta 138-58. The Titans also stuffed the Falcons three times on fourth downs.
</p>
<p>
Tennessee opened this season with that big win at Cleveland, then lost back-to-back games to Indianapolis and Jacksonville. Sustained success isn't exactly the Titans' forte.
</p>
<p>
These teams met back in Week 5 of last season; a 13-12 Bills win in Buffalo on a field goal at the buzzer. The Bills won that game outright as six-point underdogs, and the game played under a total of 38, as the teams combined for just 444 yards of total offense.
</p>
<h2>
NFL Betting Trends<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Buffalo is 7-11 SU but 10-8 ATS over its last 18 road games.
</li>
<li>
Tennessee is 6-3 SU but 4-5 ATS over its last nine home games.
</li>
<li>
Through Thursday night's game, home teams are just 29-34 SU, 21-41 ATS so far this NFL season.
</li>
<li>
Through Thursday night, favorites are 38-25 SU but 25-37 ATS this season.
</li>
</ul>
<h2>
Totals Report<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Unders are 4-0 in Bills games this season, which are averaging just 35 total points.
</li>
<li>
Unders are 3-1 in Titans games this season, which are averaging 38 points.
</li>
<li>
Through Thursday, unders are 35-29 this NFL season.
</li>
</ul>
<p><section></p>
<ul>
<li>
<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/nfl/matchup/1109513">Bills at Titans NFL Match-up Stats</a> </span>
</li>
</ul>
<p></section></p>