Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings Pick ATS - Odds and Betting Preview

September 23, 1:00 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Minnesota -16.5

The Minnesota Vikings (1-0-1) and Buffalo Bills (0-2) will lock horns in the Twin Cities on Sunday, September 23rd, 2018 at 1:00 PM ET. The game will be aired for regional demographics on FOX. The last occasion the Vikings and Bills met was in 2014 where the Bills narrowly defeated the Vikings in Buffalo by a score of 17-16. Overall, the Bills have won three of the last four contests between both participants. Contrarily, the two teams have split against the spread over this four-game sample.

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Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings Overview

Buffalo Bills

The Bills continue to look like a dumpster fire as their team has struggled mightily on both sides of the football. Buffalo comes in surrendering 39.5 points per game which places them in the basement of the league in that department. Offensively, it doesn't get any better as this much-maligned Bills offense only averages 11.5 points per game. So far this season, Buffalo owns a 47-3 loss in their opener at Baltimore followed by a 31-20 loss suffered at home against the Los Angeles Chargers.

Minnesota Vikings

The same cannot be inferred for the Minnesota Vikings who come into this contest looking very much like the NFC Champion contender it has touted to be. Most recently, the Vikings drew against their NFC North rival Green Bay at Lambeau Field, resulting in a 29-29 stalemate. Previous to this, Minnesota ended a San Francisco 49ers winning streak with a 24-16 home win to kick off their 2018 efforts.

Reasons to Back Buffalo

Though Buffalo appears to be perhaps the weakest team in the NFL, the fact remains that the league is full of parody because no franchise is definitively better than any other. Sure, some teams perform well while others don't, but the level of professionalism is at its peak in the NFL. Very simply, the Bills don't deserve to be taking back such lofty point spreads because they are not that much worse than the Vikings when you consider overall talent. However, their body of work sells their stock, and thus the only way they can get any kind of action is through inflated point spreads such as this. This is where we step in.

Reasons to Avoid Minnesota

In addition to the strong possibility of an overlay, Minnesota may be caught looking forward here. A huge showdown with the team many feel they may face in the NFC Championship Game is looming in Week 4 when the Vikings travel out west to meet the Los Angeles Rams. In Week 5, the Vikes have a 2017 NFC Championship rematch with the Philadelphia Eagles. So, it’s not a reach to think that the Vikings won’t have their eye on the ball here.

Get more details: Buffalo at Minnesota NFL Match-Up

Buffalo at Minnesota Prediction 09/23/2018

Overall, 38.5 is not a conducive number for a cover with such heavy lumber like this. But that is beside the point. Buffalo’s offense looked far better against Los Angeles than it did against Baltimore with Shady McCoy back in the fold. The Bills running back can change games and in doing so, expect him to empower the Bills to come in at least under this number.

Free Pick: 
Take Buffalo +16.5

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