One of the biggest showdowns on the slate this Sunday in Week 14 of the NFL regular season is a rematch of last year’s AFC title game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the New England Patriots. Game time from Gillette Stadium in Foxborough is set for 4:25 p.m. on CBS with the Patriots listed as three-point home favorites.
While most online sportsbooks will release a full set of betting props for this matchup, one of the early betting options on the board covers which team’s starting quarterback will throw the first touchdown pass in the game.
As a special bonus prop, you can also bet on Seattle Seahawks’ quarterback Russell Wilson running for a score in Sunday night’s road game against the NFC West rival Los Angeles Rams. Seattle is currently a one-point favorite in that big showdown on NBC at 8:20 p.m.
NFL Week 14 Mahomes vs. Brady- First Touchdown Pass
The prop bet odds favor New England quarterback Tom Brady throwing the first touchdown pass of Sunday’s showdown at -140 odds. The prop bet odds that Kansas City’s starter Patrick Mahomes tosses the first score are set at +110.
The Chiefs come into this game at 8-4 straight-up on the year with a 7-5 record against the spread. They have a two-game lead over Oakland for first place in the AFC West. Kansas City is coming off a solid outing against the Raiders with a 40-9 rout that will go along way toward sealing another division title.
Mahomes threw for 175 yards and one score in that game. On the year, he has tossed 20 touchdown passes against two interceptions. While he has thrown at least one touchdown pass in each of his last six games, he did throw for three scores against Houston and Tennessee during that same span of games. The Chiefs went on to lose each of those contests.
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New England is coming off Sunday night's 28-22 road loss to Houston as a three-point favorite. The Patriots dropped to 10-2 SU (7-5 ATS) with the loss, and they are just one game ahead of Buffalo for the lead in the AFC East.
With a SU 2-2 (1-3 ATS) record over the last four games, Brady threw for three scores in the loss to the Texans after being held to just two touchdown throws combined in the previous three games. Overall, he has 18 passes for scores this season against six interceptions.
This game is a huge match for either team when it comes to the AFC playoffs. New England has had the Chiefs' number lately, but I am going with the plus money on Mahomes that he tosses the first score in Sunday's game.
Bonus NFL Week 14 Prop- Russell Wilson Rushing Touchdown
The prop bet odds that Seattle quarterback Russell Wilson scores a touchdown running the ball this Sunday night against the Rams have been set at -300 for NO and +220 for YES.
The Seahawks are on a roll following Monday night’s 37-30 victory against Minnesota as three-point home favorites. They have won their last five games SU to improve to 10-2.
Wilson has been a big part of that success as a strong MVP candidate. Through 12 starts, he has thrown for 3,177 yards and 26 touchdowns. Running the ball, he has gained 284 yards with three touchdowns on 57 carries. Chris Carson has been the go-to guy running the ball with seven scores, but Wilson still has the mentality of getting into the end zone anyway possible.
Given the posted odds, it makes no sense to bet against him in this prop, so I would make a small play on the +220 odds that Wilson does find a way to score with his legs in Sunday night’s game.