Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers Free ATS Pick - Odds - NFL Predictions

Date: 
December 10, 8:30 PM EST
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Pittsburgh -5
Total: 
43.5

Sunday Night Football wraps up of full day of NFL betting action with a classic AFC North tilt between the 7-5 Baltimore Ravens and the 10-2 Pittsburgh Steelers in an 8:30 p.m. (ET) kickoff at Heinz Field. NBC will cover the game nationally.

Baltimore at Pittsburgh Game Overview

Baltimore helped its playoff chances in the AFC wild card race with last Sunday’s 44-20 rout against Detroit as a 2.5-point home favorite. It has gone 3-1-1 against the spread in its last five games to improve to 6-5-1 ATS overall. The total went way OVER the closing 43-point line on the Ravens’ scoring alone and it has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in seven of their last eight games. They head on the road with a 3-2-1 record ATS in six previous road games this season.

Under the guidance of veteran quarterback Joe Flacco, Baltimore’s offense has struggled to move the ball as the 30th-ranked unit in the NFL in yards per game, but it broke out of that funk against the Lions last Sunday with 370 total yards. If the Ravens are going to have any chance to pull off the upset this Sunday night, it will most likely be behind the play of its defense. This side of the ball is ranked seventh in the league in yards allowed (311.2) and third in points allowed (17.2).

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The Steelers grinded-out another tight win on Monday night by getting past Cincinnati 23-20 as 4.5-point road favorites. This followed a last-minute 31-28 victory at home against Green Bay as heavy 14-point favorites at home. They have now failed to cover in three of their last four games in the midst of a SU seven-game winning streak. The total has gone OVER in Pittsburgh’s last three games.

The trio of Ben Roethlisberger at quarterback, Le’Veon Bell at running back and wide receiver Antonio Brown continued to live up to their lofty expectations as playmakers in Monday night’s win with Roethlisberger connecting with Brown eight times for 101 yards and a score, while Bell added 76 yards on the ground and 106 yards receiving and two more scores on five catches of his own. Overall, the Steelers’ defense has also played a big role in this team’s success by holding opposing teams to 17.8 points per game.

Baltimore at Pittsburgh Game Betting Trends

  • The Ravens have gone 10-2 ATS in their last 12 AFC North games, but they fall to 8-17 ATS in their last 25 December games. The total has stayed UNDER in their last four division games.
  • The Steelers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last six games after failing to cover in their previous outing and they are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against a team with a SU winning record. The total has stayed UNDER in 13 of their last 19 division games.
  • Head-to-head in this AFC North battle, the underdog is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings and the total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in five of the last six games.

Baltimore at Pittsburgh Free Game Prediction

Right off the bat, you have a matchup between two teams that genuinely do not like one another so you already know this is going to be a tough, physical battle. You also have a matchup between two of the stingiest defenses in the league, so points could be hard to come by for both teams. The Steelers have a knack for winning close games this season giving them the SU edge at home, but my ‘best bet’ pick in this one is the UNDER on the 43.5-point total line.

Free Pick: 
Take the Under 43.5

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