Wyoming Cowboys at Utah State Aggies Week 12 Pick

November 16, 4:14 PM EST

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Utah State -6.5

The Utah State Aggies (5-4) will host the Wyoming Cowboys (6-3) for a Mountain West Conference collision on Saturday, November 16th, 2019, in Logan, Utah. Kick-off is scheduled for 4:00 PM ET and televised on ESPNU. Wyoming and Utah State last met in 2018 in Laramie, where the Aggies defeated the Cowboys 24-16, failing to cover as a 13.5-point favorite. The Cowboys are 3-0 ATS in the last three meetings.

Wyoming Cowboys at Utah State Aggies Key Injury Concerns

Neither the Cowboys and Aggies have reported any emergent injuries to key personnel heading into this fixture.

Wyoming Cowboys at Utah State Aggies Overview

Wyoming Cowboys

The Boys come into this contest off the heels of an impressive showing when it took the No. 22 Boise State Broncos into extra time, last Saturday. Closing as a 16.5-point underdog, Wyoming pushed the Broncos to the limit in a 20-17 thriller that saw the Boys on the losing end of the overtime in Boise but nonetheless left takers with cash in hand and a raised eyebrow.

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Utah State Aggies

The Aggies come into this affair off an upset of Fresno State in the Valley last Saturday. Closing as a five-point road underdog, the Aggies marched onto a 37-35 victory over the Bulldogs to snap a two-game losing streak on the year.

Reasons To Avoid Wyoming Cowboys

All the ingredients here set up Wyoming for a let-down in this match-up. The Cowboys have been profitable in this series, and the market has a more favorable perception of this outfit. In addition to their rumble with Boise State, Wyoming has also been the orchestrator of a season-opening upset of SEC constituent Missouri when Wyoming was priced as a 15-point underdog. We are just two weeks removed from Utah State's blowout loss suffered at the hands of BYU when the Aggies were priced as a field-goal favorite at home against the Cougars. This poor showing is likely influencing the market to think twice about pulling the trigger on Utah State.

Reasons To Back Utah State Aggies

The Cowboys have struggled mightily on the road this season and have gone 1-3 SU away from Laramie. However, backers have taken advantage of Wyoming's struggles away from their post and have gone 3-1 ATS in these contests. This spot seems like the perfect crossroads for that direction to change in terms of profits. After all, previous to the BYU debacle, Utah State was undefeated at home. They will be keen to re-establish their home field presence here against a Wyoming team that is one of the worst in the country in defending the pass (278.2 passing yards against per game – 125th in the FBS). The Aggies are ranked 29th in terms of passing yards per game (279.4 yards per game). That quick-strike dynamic that could manifest will be hard for Wyoming to overcome with one of the most pedestrian passing attacks in America as the Boys average a measly 128.8 yards through the air per game (126th in the FBS).

Wyoming at Utah State Prediction 11/16/19

To ask the Aggies to win this game by a touchdown is not too much to ask at all. No matter how you slice this one, Utah State can win and cover this game on the last possession if it had to. However, I trust it won’t come to that. The Aggies will come out swinging and build up a lead that the Cowboys quite frankly will not be able to overcome. An aerial attack will lead Utah State to a double-digit victory. Swallow the points.

Free Pick: 
Take Utah State -6.5
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