Texas A&M Aggies vs. Clemson Tigers 9-7-19

Date: 
September 7, 3:30 PM EDT
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Clemson -17.5
Moneyline: 
Clemson -1050/Texas A&M +700
Total: 
61

The Clemson Tigers ride a 16-game winning streak into a rematch of a pretty good game from last year with Texas A&M Saturday afternoon at Death Valley East. Clemson took care of business in its season opener last week and covered the spread, while the Aggies won but coughed up a cover. How are we playing this game with our free college football pick?

College Football Betting Odds

Week 2's college football betting odds opened Clemson at -18.5 over Texas A&M, with an over/under of 60. Early betting action then dipped the Tigers to -17.5 and edged the total up to 61.

Aggies vs. Tigers Set-Up

Texas A&M opened its 2019 campaign with a 41-7 win over Texas State last Thursday. The Aggies scored touchdowns on four of their first six possessions of the game, led 28-0 at the half and 41-0 late. Unfortunately for their financial backers A&M gave up a Bobcats touchdown with 36 seconds left and finished with a push of the spread as a 34-point favorite.

The Aggies out-gained Texas State 478-219, out-rushed the Bobcats 246-8, held a 36/24 time of possession advantage and won the turnover battle 4-1.

Clemson, meanwhile, opened defense of its national championship of last season with a 52-14 drubbing of Georgia Tech last Thursday. The Tigers struggled a bit early, turning the ball over on two of their first three possessions of the game, but led 28-0 at the half and 35-0 before allowing the Yellowjackets to hit the board in the third quarter. Later, much to the delight of its financial backers, favored Clemson kicked a 51-yard field goal with six minutes left to cover a 36-point spread.

The Tigers out-gained Georgia Tech 632-294 and out-rushed the Ramblin' Wreck 411-157. However, they also committed three turnovers, two on Trevor Lawrence interceptions.

These teams met for a pretty good game last season, a 28-26 Clemson victory at College Station. The Tigers led that game 28-13 through three quarters, but the Aggies scored twice, the second time with just 46 seconds left, to pull within two points. A&M came up empty on a 2-point conversion that would have tied the game, but the late rally gave it a back-door cover as a 12-point underdog.

The Aggies actually out-gained Clemson that day 501-413, ending up as the only team to do so last season.

College Football Betting Trends

  • Texas A&M is 10-4 SU, 10-3-1 ATS under Coach Fisher.
  • Clemson is now 12-0 SU, 9-2-1 ATS with Lawrence as the starter at QB.
  • Over the last season-plus, the SEC is 8-4 both SU and ATS against the ACC.

Totals Report

  • Texas A&M's win over Texas State last week played under a total of 56.
  • Clemson's win over Georgia Tech last week played over a total of 60.
  • Last year's Clemson-Texas A&M game sneaked over a total of 50 when the Aggies scored that previous touchdown with less than a minute to go.

Texas A&M at Clemson Prediction 09/07/2019

Clemson is the better team here and should win this game, but that spread is probably inflated. Death Valley is undoubtedly one of the toughest places to play in college football, but we feel home-field advantage is regularly overrated by both oddsmakers and bettors alike. And the Tigers only finished 3-4 ATS at home last year, mainly because they were favored by too much too often. Texas A&M probably won't win this game, but we're taking the points.

Free Pick: 
Take the Aggies +17.5
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