Tennessee Volunteers vs. Missouri Tigers Week 13 Pick

November 23, 7:30 PM EST

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Missouri -4

Two teams headed in different directions as of late hook up when Tennessee meets Missouri Saturday afternoon in Columbia. The Vols, following a poor start to this season, is suddenly hot, and 5-0 against the spread over their last five games. The Tigers, on the other hand, are skidding, and 0-5 ATS their recent five times out. Who do we like here for our free college football pick?

College Football Betting Odds

Week 13's college football betting odds opened Mizzou at -4 for this game, with an over/under of 46. Early betting action then dipped that total to 45.

Volunteers vs. Tigers Set-Up

Tennessee started 1-4 this season and looked terrible doing it, losing to Georgia Southern, blowing a game against BYU, falling badly to Florida and Georgia. But the Vols are 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS over their last five games, after winning at Kentucky two weeks ago 17-13. Tennessee then enjoyed the previous week off.

The Volunteers spotted the Wildcats the first 13 points of the game a couple of weeks ago, then scored the next 17 to take the lead. In the end, Tennessee won it with a goal-line stand with just over a minute to go.

The Vols actually got out-played by Kentucky, losing time of possession by a huge 42:18 split. They just made some plays at the right times, on both sides of the ball.

Three weeks ago, Tennessee defeated a decent UAB team 30-7, covering as a two-touchdown favorite, and just before that, the Vols beat South Carolina outright 41-21 as four-point dogs.

At 5-5 overall, Tennessee needs one win in its last two games – it's got Vanderbilt next week - to become bowl-eligible.

Missouri, meanwhile, started 5-1 this season but lugs a four-game losing streak into this week, after falling at home to Florida last week 23-6. The Tigers managed just a pair of field goals on the day and came up empty ATS as home dogs of 6.5 points.

Missouri got out-gained by the Gators 386-256.

Two weeks ago, the Tigers lost at Georgia 27-0; just before that, they lost at Kentucky 29-7, and just before that, they lost at Vanderbilt 21-14. So Mizzou has scored a total of 27 points over its last four games.

At 5-5 overall, the Tigers also need one win in their last two games – they're at Arkansas next week – to become bowl-eligible.

Vols-Tigers Recent History

Since joining the SEC back in 2012, Missouri leads the series with Tennessee five games to two, going 5-2 ATS along the way. Two years ago, the Tigers beat the Vols 50-17, and last year they won this match-up by that exact same score.

Missouri covered last year as a six-point favorite, and two years ago as a 12-point fave. Also, those games played over totals of 64 and 58.

College Football Betting Trends

  • Tennessee is 4-2 ATS this season as an underdog.
  • Missouri is 5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS at home this season.

Totals Report

  • Unders are 6-4 in Vols games this season, which are averaging 47 total points.
  • Unders are 8-2 in Tigers games this season, which are averaging 46 points.
  • Overs are 3-0 in the last three games in the series between these two teams.

Tennessee at Missouri Prediction 11/23/19

Tennessee is heading in a good direction as of late, Missouri, not so much. And in this case, that's enough for us. So despite the recent trend in the series between these two teams, we like the Vols and the points in this spot.

Free Pick: 
Take Tennessee +4

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