Oregon Ducks vs. Auburn Tigers Pick

August 31, 7:30 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Auburn -3

The SEC and Pac-12 will do battle when Auburn and Oregon meet on a neutral site. The game should offer bettors an entertaining inter-sectional match-up for their 2019 season opener. The Tigers should own a home-crowd advantage, considering they don't have to travel nearly as far as the Ducks; consequently, Auburn is lined as a field-goal favorite. Who do we like here for our free college football pick?

College Football Betting Odds

Week 1's college football betting odds opened Auburn at -3 over Oregon, with an over/under of 59. Early betting action then dropped that total three points, down to 56.

Ducks vs. Tigers Set-Up

Oregon returns 17 starters this season from a team that finished 9-4 last year (5-8 ATS), with a tough bowl victory over Michigan State. Ten starters are back from an offense that averaged 427 yards per game last season, led by senior QB Justin Herbert (17-12 as a starter, 63/17 touchdowns/interceptions), running back CJ Verdell (1,333 yards from scrimmage last year, 12 touchdowns) and the entire offensive line. And seven starters are back on a defense that allowed 386 YPG last year, including three up front and three in the secondary.

The Ducks are playing against a regular-season wins over/under of 8.5.

Auburn, meanwhile, returns 14 starters from a team that came in at a disappointing 8-5 last year (5-8 ATS), although the Tigers finished with a bowl blowout of Purdue. Seven starters are back from an offense that averaged 390 YPG last season, including last year's top two rushers and the entire offensive line. But Auburn must replace two-year starter Jarrett Stidham at quarterback and last year's top two receivers. And seven starters are back from a defense that allowed 355 YPG last year, including the entire secondary.

"Tip: Successful sports bettors are very adapt in finding the best lines to wager. How do they do this? By having multiple sportsbook accounts. Some betting sites that have more recreational bettors may add an extra half point on the favorite (-3.5 for example) while a sportsbook that caters more to the sharp players may hold the line (-3).

It looks like the Tigers are going with freshman Bo Nix at quarterback, which presents us with a significant unknown factor in handicapping this game.

Auburn is playing against a wins O/U of only 7.5, but it's going to play one of the toughest schedules in the country this season.

The only other time these teams ever met came back at the end of the 2010 season, when Cam Newton and the Tigers beat the Ducks 22-19 in the national championship game.

College Football Betting Trends

  • Oregon played 1-3 both SU and ATS as an underdog last season.
  • Auburn played 8-3 SU, 5-5-1 ATS as a favorite last season

Totals Report

  • Unders played 7-5 in Ducks games last season, which averaged 60 total points.
  • Unders played 8-5 in Tigers games last season, which averaged 50.

Oregon at Auburn Prediction 08/31/19

Oregon probably owns the edge offensively, especially considering Auburn is going with a freshman at quarterback, but the Tigers own the better defense, led by what should be one of the best D lines in the country. And for evenly-matched contests like this, we prefer to bet the better defense. So we're giving the short spread here with Auburn.

Free Pick: 
Take Auburn -3
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