New Mexico State Aggies at Texas State Bobcats Pick ATS - Odds and Betting Predictions

Date: 
October 27, 7:00 PM EDT
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
TXST -3
Total: 
55

The Texas State Bobcats (1-6) will welcome the New Mexico State Aggies (2-6) to San Marcos, Texas on Saturday, October 27th, 2018. Kick-off is set for 7:00 PM ET and will be available on ESPN+ for live streaming. These two teams have met annually since 2014. Presently, the Aggies of New Mexico State own a three-game winning streak against the Bobcats both straight up and against the spread. Last year in Las Cruces, New Mexico State defeated Texas State 45-35.

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New Mexico State Aggies at Texas State Bobcats Overview

New Mexico State Aggies

The Aggies come into this contest on the heels of a two-game losing streak. Most recently, the Aggies hosted the up-start Georgia Southern Eagles in Las Cruces and were defeated 48-31, failing to cover as a 9.5-point home dog. Though New Mexico State has hit some rough patches, there are still some positives. The offense is now firing on all cylinders as it has broken the 30-point threshold in its last three outings.

Texas State Bobcats

The Bobcats enter into this affair riding a five-game losing streak. On the year, Texas State does not own a win against an FBS opponent. T-State's only victory was earned against Texas Southern in September where it failed to cover a lofty 33-point line winning by just 16.

Reasons To Avoid Texas State

Texas State though they have continued to lose, have looked formidable in their losses as of late. This is a football team that lost to Georgia Southern by just two points and only six points against another fellow Sun Belt foe in UL Monroe. On the flip side, New Mexico State has been getting blown out in their previous two losses as they have been defeated by an average 22.5 points. It is likely that takers are backing Texas State as a lesser of two evils in this market when the small number and home field advantage is also factored in.

Reasons To Back New Mexico State

San Marcos, Texas is by no means Columbus, Ohio and New Mexico State can win on the road. They proved that earlier this year when they traveled to El Paso, Texas and handed their rival UTEP a loss in the Battle of I-10. In addition to this premise, this is not the kind of game where you want to find yourself laying points given the unpredictability of the participants. Thus the value in itself is in backing New Mexico State given all the variables that can unfold.

Get more details: New Mexico State at Texas State NCAAF Match-Up

New Mexico State at Texas State Prediction 10/27/2018

When you compare the overall schedules of both these teams, New Mexico State has had a tougher road, yet they have one more win to their credit. Texas State did not have to play Utah State or Minnesota on the road. Instead, they opted for Texas Southern and a visit to Rutgers (the weakest team in the B1G by far) outside of their Sun Belt Conference schedule. This will be the difference maker in this one. We are getting the better team at a better price. Aggies pull the upset.

Free Pick: 
Take New Mexico State +125
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