New Mexico State Aggies at New Mexico Lobos Free Pick - Odds - ATS Prediction

September 9, 8:00 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
New Mexico -7.5

Another chapter of the Rio Grande Rivalry otherwise known as the Battle of I-25 is set to renew as the New Mexico Lobos will take on arch rival New Mexico State at Dreamstyle University Stadium in Albuquerque, New Mexico. Kick-off is scheduled for Saturday, September 9th, 2017 at 8:00 PM ET. The contest will be broadcasted on Fox Sports Network. Last year’s meeting between both parties was a nail-biter as the Aggies ended the Lobos’ dominance in this rivalry by virtue of a 32-31 win in Las Cruces.

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New Mexico State Aggies vs. New Mexico Lobos Overview

Prior to last year, New Mexico had its way in this rivalry regardless of location of venue. However, some home cooking empowered the Aggies to take down their arch rival in an absolute classic where State would go to the front with a touchdown in the final stages of the fourth quarter. The Aggies closed as an 11-point dog. In 2017, the narrative surrounding this game is the revenge angle and the fact that the Lobos could avenge the shocking loss at home before their own contingent of fans. Overall, the Lobos have had more success in emphatic wins at University Stadium. In 2015, the Lobos won by a margin of nine. In 2013, the Lobos hung 66 points on their intrastate adversaries in a 49-point blowout win.

New Mexico State at New Mexico Betting Trends

  • New Mexico State has lost their last three games.
  • New Mexico State is 6-4 ATS in their previous ten games.
  • New Mexico is 5-5 ATS in their last ten contests.
  • New Mexico is 8-2 SU in their previous ten overall.

New Mexico State Aggies vs. New Mexico Lobos Prediction

What is most key here is not so much the Aggie victory of 2016 but their ability to hang around with Arizona State in its opening game last week. New Mexico State as a 26.5-point pup was able to stay within a touchdown of the Sun Devils, ultimately falling by a score of 37-31. However, Arizona State’s defense is virtually non-existent so this is not much of an achievement. Nevertheless, with the apparent edge resting with NMSU along with being underpriced against ASU, it looks as if the Aggies were grossly undervalued at the initial offering against New Mexico. However, it is likely the opposite. New Mexico was caught napping last year when they went into Las Cruces and they have had essentially two weeks to prepare for New Mexico State in what will certainly be a game circled on their calendar. The Lobos made quick work of ACU at home last week but failed to cover a 34-point line in the process. With this narrative further fueling the prospect of NMSU being undervalued, this is the ideal situation to fade the public and likely take advantage of short-priced favorite primed to run wild on their most hated foe.

Free Pick: 
Take New Mexico -7.5

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