Mississippi Rebels vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Free Point Spread Pick


The Ole Miss Rebels are shaping up to be one of the surprise teams in the SEC season as the No. 15-ranked team in the nation. This Saturday, they will open conference play with a trip to LP Field in Nashville to face the Vanderbilt Commodores. Kickoff is set for 4:30 p.m. (ET) and the game will be broadcast nationally on ESPN.
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Game Overview
Mississippi was well down the list when BetOnline first released its futures odds to win the SEC this season, but it probably opened some eyes with last Thursday's 35-13 pasting of Boise State as a 9.5-point favorite on the road. The total stayed UNDER the closing 52-point line. The total has now stayed UNDER in its last four games.
Bo Wallace lit the Broncos up with 387 yards passing and four touchdown throws while completing an impressive 69.4 percent of his 36 attempts. One concern however was Wallace's three interceptions in this game. The Rebels also played extremely well on defense by holding a normally high-powered Boise State offense to just one touchdown and an average of 5.5 yards a pass. They also picked off the ball four times to help keep the Broncos out of the end zone.

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The Commodores were stunned by Temple 37-7 in their opener as 8.5-point favorite at home. This snapped a five-game winning streak that closed-out a solid 9-4 straight-up record in 2013. The total stayed UNDER the 50.5-point closing line and it has now stayed UNDER in three of their last five games.
Stephen Rivers had a long day at quarterback against the Owls with just 12 completions on 25 attempts for 186 yards, but the main reason that Vanderbilt lost this game was the seven turnovers it gave away. Its only score of the game came on a botched snap from center on a Temple punt that was recovered in the end zone.

Ole Miss Rebels vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Trends
The Rebels are 6-3 against the spread in their last nine games, but just 2-5 ATS in their last seven conference games. The total has stayed UNDER in their last four games on the road.
The Commodores are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU loss and 4-1 ATS in their last five SEC games. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last eight games following a SU loss.
Head-to-head in this SEC clash, Ole Miss is 3-10 ATS in the last 13 meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in six of the last eight games.

Ole Miss Rebels vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Prediction
When you break down both of these team's season openers, it is clear that Ole Miss is not as good as that score would indicate and that Vanderbilt is not as bad as last week's loss might suggest. The Commodores really have no choice but to play better and while they will not win this game SU, they will play well enough to cover with a very generous 20-point spread at home.