Maryland Terrapins vs. Iowa Hawkeyes Pick ATS - Odds and Betting Predictions

Date: 
October 20, 12:00 PM EDT
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Iowa -10
Total: 
44.5

Maryland Terrapins (4-2 SU 4-2 ATS 3-3 O/U) vs. #19 Iowa Hawkeyes (5-1 SU 5-1 ATS 4-2 O/U)

On the season Maryland ranks 98th in the nation in total offense, and 18th in total defense and Iowa ranks 61st in total offense and 5th in total defense.

NCAAF Line

Iowa opened as a -10 point spread favorite in this Big 10 game with the total line offered up at 44.5 points. The betting lines have held at most betting shops with the odd shop posting an O/U line of 45.

Last Games: Maryland moved to 4-2 with a 34-7 home blowout win over Rutgers where they grabbed the money covering the spread as a 23.5-point favorite while the total fell UNDER the 51 point line. Iowa moved to 5-1 with a 42-16 convincing road win over Indiana where they crushed the -3.5 spread line. The 58 points scored had OVER bettors cashing with the line crossing the 52.5 point total.

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Maryland at Iowa NCAAF Set-Up

Maryland is 2-1 in Big 10 play and the 2nd half of their season is killer starting with this game and Michigan State, Penn State, and Ohio State still on the slate.

The Terrapins are all about the run, as they rank 17th in the nation in rushing yards per game while only ranking a miserable 125th in passing yards per game. Ty Johnson leads the team with 435 yards on the ground with Anthony McFarland right behind with his 399 rushing yards. Johnson is their big gun and to say he has been up and down on the season would be an understatement. He has rushed for at least 123 yards in three games this season, including his last one, but has also been shut down in games rushing for 23 rushing yards and three.

Johnson and the Maryland run game will be facing an Iowa run defense that ranks 3rd in the nation, and they’re coming off a game where they held Indiana to 67 rushing yards.

Iowa has a balanced offensive attack, but the heart and soul of the team is their defense. That said, they have totaled 90 points in winning their last two games. QB Nate Stanley has 15 TD and five INT on the season and in his previous two games has passed for at least 314 yards and had 10 TD and only two INT.

Maryland’s defense has been strong through the air and on the ground ranking 30th in the nation against the pass and 36th against the run.

Head to Head: These teams have not met since the 2015 season.

Sagarin Rankings

Maryland: 76.26
Iowa: 86.75

Injuries

MARYLAND

[DL] 10/10/2018 - Brett Kulka is out for season ( Knee )
[RB] 10/14/2018 - Jake Funk is "?" Saturday vs. Iowa ( Hand )
[RB] 10/01/2018 - Lorenzo Harrison is out for season ( Knee )
[QB] 10/03/2018 - Max Bortenschlager is out for season ( Ankle )

IOWA

[RB] 10/14/2018 - Ivory Kelly-Martin is "?" Saturday vs. Maryland ( Concussion )
[LB] 10/15/2018 - Nick Niemann is "?" Saturday vs. Maryland ( Leg )
[LB] 10/14/2018 - Jack Hockaday is "?" Saturday vs. Maryland ( Knee )

Maryland at Iowa NCAAF Key Betting Trends/Angles

  • MARY is 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games
  • MARY is 4-8 ATS in their previous 12 road games
  • MARY has an Over record of 10-5 in their last 15 games
  • IOWA is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games
  • IOWA is 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 home games
  • IOWA has an Over record of 4-0 in their last 4 games

Get more details: Maryland at Iowa NCAAF Match-Up

Head to Head Trends

NONE Next Game Maryland vs. Illinois
Iowa @ Penn State

Maryland at Iowa Prediction 10/20/18

It’s difficult determining if Maryland is as good as the team who at home in their opener beat a good Texas team 34-29 or are they more like the team that was never in it on the road against Michigan in a 42-21 shellacking? I think they’re closer to the first one. The Terrapins had an extra week to add to their overconfidence after a 42-13 crushing of the Gophers and came out flat against the Wolverines. Iowa has played well from the “get go” losing only to Wisconsin who were able to move the ball well on the ground against them racking up 210 yards on 44 carries for a 4.8 YPC. Maryland has a similar style offense to the Badgers but can be slowed down on the ground as shown against Temple and Michigan. On the other side of the ball, the Terps have had difficulty against teams with a balanced offense which the Hawkeyes do possess. However, Iowa comes into this game with a few things against them. They'll be without first-string fullback Brady Ross whose strength is opening holes for the running game and as an outlet receiver on 3rd downs. Iowa may also be limited in the passing game with weather reports forecasting winds in the mid 20’s. I foresee a tight defensive battle similar to the Hawkeyes game against the Cyclones earlier this season.

Free Pick: 
Take the UNDER 44.5
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