Louisville Cardinals vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish Betting Odds - Free ATS Pick
The Auburn Tigers and the Georgia Bulldogs will battle it out this Saturday at Sanford Stadium in another major showdown in the SEC that has so much on the line for both of these teams. Kickoff for this conference clash is set for 7:15 (ET) and the game will be broadcast nationally on ESPN
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The Tigers will have to quickly put last Saturday's stunning 41-38 loss to Texas A&M as heavy 23.5-point home favorites in the rear view mirror to keep their conference title hopes alive. The loss dropped Auburn to 7-2 straight-up on the year with a 4-2 mark in conference play. It has now failed to cover in five of its last seven contests and the total has gone OVER in its last three games.
Auburn is still trying to figure out how it fell into an 18-point deficit at the half against the Aggies. A furious rally fell just short and the loss put a serious dent in any national playoff plans. The Tigers' defense is starting to become a glaring weakness after allowing 31 points or more in each of their last four games as opposed to a season average of just 24.1 points allowed. The other main issue in this game could be Auburn's ability to take care of the ball after coughing it up three times in Saturday's loss.
Georgia redeemed itself from a bad loss by running all over Kentucky 63-31 last Saturday as a 10-point road favorite. This followed a shocking 38-20 loss to Florida as a 12-point home favorite the week before. The net result heading into this matchup is a SU record of 7-2 and a 5-4 mark ATS. The total went OVER in both of those contests and it has now gone OVER in eight of the Bulldogs' nine games this year.
This is another defense that has had its issues over the past few weeks after allowing an average of 33.7 points in its last three games. Even in this past Saturday's romp, the Wildcats were able to find enough holes to score 24 points on the Bulldogs in the second quarter alone. Look for Georgia to rely heavily on a running game that is averaging 256.3 yards a game. It also helps that running back Todd Gurley has been cleared to return to the team after serving a four-game suspension.
The Tigers are 3-0 ATS in their last three games as road underdogs and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games in conference play. The total has gone OVER in their last four games as underdogs on the road.
The Bulldogs have won 24 of their last 25 games SU as home favorites and they are 11-1 SU in their last 12 home games against a SEC foe. The total has gone OVER in nine of their last 10 home games as favorites.
Head-to-head in this showdown, Georgia has covered ATS in six of the last eight meetings and they are 4-1 SU in its last five home games against the Tigers. The total has slightly favored the UNDER at 2-3-1 in the last six meetings.
Auburn vs. Georgia Game Point Spread Pick
Conventional wisdom would be to take Auburn and the 2.5 points on the road as the better overall team. I am going in the opposite direction with a play on the Bulldogs in what should be a wild one. Georgia has always been a tough out at home and a late field goal gives it the three-point win this time around.