Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks at South Alabama Jaguars Free Pick - Betting Odds

November 10, 5:00 PM EST

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
South Alabama +5.5

The South Alabama Jaguars (2-7) and the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks (5-4) will square off for a Sun Belt Conference collision on Saturday, November 10th, 2018 with a kick-off time of 5:00 PM ET. The contest will be available for streaming on ESPN+ live from Ladd-Peebles Stadium. The series between the two teams has been balanced as each club has won two of the last four contests between each other. South Alabama hosted Monroe here last year and defeated them 33-23 to cover as a 3.5-point favorite. The Home Team has covered in the last three fixtures.

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Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks at South Alabama Jaguars Overview

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks

The Hawks come in off their third straight win, this one being their most impressive of the season. As a seven-point underdog, the Warhawks would take it to Georgia Southern handing the one-loss team their second loss of the campaign in a 44-25 victory. Georgia Southern the week previously had knocked off a ranked Appalachian State team.

South Alabama Jaguars

The Jaguars come in on a five-game losing streak against FBS opponents as they bode only win in their last six outings against FCS Alcorn State. In their previous five outings, the Jags have been a liability as they have fostered a cover just once over this span. Most recently, USA was pummeled at the hands of Arkansas State on the road last Saturday by a score of 38-14.

Reasons To Back South Alabama

Despite contrasting bodies of work this season, the market’s initial perception of the Jaguars is that they have a considerable chance of winning this game as reflected in the opening number of -4.5. This resonates with us because this team has lost its last six games by at least 17 points. Despite this, the public has jumped all over Monroe to move the market upward by a point which speaks into why they should be avoided.

Reasons To Avoid Louisiana-Monroe

The result of last week's upset is enough to stir a commotion and cause an overreaction by the betting public toward backing Monroe. However, the Hawks are taking a definite step down in competitive quality this week with a low number to spot which means that the offering looks too easy. However, Monroe is in prime position for a let-down in their follow-up if they are still hung over from their efforts against Georgia Southern.

Louisiana-Monroe at South Alabama Prediction 11/10/2018

It is very tempting to play the Jaguars outright on the Money Line here as an upset remains a likely possibility. The Jaguars cannot make a bowl game, but that doesn't mean that this team won't be fired up to play a team it has had success against at home. The Jaguars will enter this contest with a nothing-to-lose mentality, and teams like these are usually the most dangerous ones to go against. We'll take the points.

Free Pick: 
Take South Alabama +5.5