Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns at Appalachian State Mountaineers Sun Belt Championship Pick

Date: 
December 7, 12:00 PM EST
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Appalachian State -6.5
Total: 
56

The Appalachian State Mountaineers (11-1) will host Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (10-2) at Kidd Brewer Stadium in Boone, North Carolina, for a re-match of last year’s Sun Belt Conference Championship. The contest will take place on Saturday, December 7th, 2019, at 12:00 PM ET. The game will be televised on ESPN. App State and ULL met earlier this year in Lafayette, Louisiana, in a mid-week October prime-time clash where the Mountaineers defeated the Ragin’ Cajuns 17-7. The Mountaineers were actually priced as an underdog in the affair and closed as a 1.5-point underdog to produce a minor upset against ULL.

Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns at Appalachian State Mountaineers Key Injury Concerns

Neither the Mountaineer or Ragin’ Cajuns have declared any key injury concerns as they venture in the Sun Belt Conference Championship.

Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns at Appalachian State Mountaineers Overview

Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns

The Ragin’ Cajuns come into this contest on the heels of a narrow "Battle of the Bayou" victory that saw ULL edge out their arch-rivals UL-Monroe by a mere point in a 31-30 thriller. Despite the splitting-hairs victory, the Ragin’ Cajuns were favored by 20.5 points. The West Division Champions enter on a six-game winning streak matched by an impressive 9-3 ATS record on the campaign.

Appalachian State Mountaineers

The Mountaineers also enter in on a winning streak that extended to four games after their most recent victory over Sun Belt constituent Troy last Saturday. The Mountaineers covered an 11-point line with ease when they defeated the Trojans 48-13. The defending Sun Belt Conference Champions sole defeat this season came at the hands of arch-nemesis Georgia Southern on November 16th in Boone. Appalachian State has an outside possibility of attaining a New Year's Six Bowl Bid should it win here and get a bit of help concerning their ranking, which presently has them at No. 20.

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Reasons to Back Louisiana-Lafayette

The Ragin’ Cajuns opened at a number that is often associated with underdogs producing an outright upset (-6), and this raised my attention right away. Despite all many may believe about Appalachian State being the superior team in this contest complemented by the facts that ULL has never beaten App State nor even coming within single digits of the Mountaineers when losing to them, the market is reluctant to give the Cajuns a full converted touchdown. It is understandable as to why that would be the case here. After all, ULL has not lost on the road this season, and the rigors of playing in Boone will likely be null-in-void here. Furthermore, motivational factors also sway toward the Cajuns in this spot, given the fact they are foaming at the mouth to get the Mountaineer-sized monkey off their backs. App State's dominance in this series and in this conference, for that matter, may cause the Mountaineers to be guilty of looking past Louisiana-Lafayette, which is a dangerous notion.

Reasons to Avoid Appalachian State

The Mountaineers have developed a pedigree for being a blue-blood in mid-major football. After all, their accolades speak for themselves. As a result, in conference championship spots such as these, you can expect to pay a premium to back them and likely play them at an inflated number. However, the number presented in particular sets up App State situationally for a let-down and puts takers in position for a hard-fall. So far, 80% of the consensus like App State and signal that the Mountaineers may look too easy here, which is often a sign of potential trouble awaiting those that get on-board with Appalachian State here.

Louisiana-Lafayette at Appalachian State Prediction 12/7/19

Will there be an upset? I think there can be. In their regular-season meeting in October, App State and ULL were engaged in a battle for all four quarters, and the Mountaineers did not take a double-digit lead until the final two minutes of regulation. The Cajuns know this, and they know they can play with this team. I would venture to say that last week's scare against the Warhawks of UL Monroe was this team looking ahead to this game because it knows it has a true chance of winning this game outright and dethroning App State as Sun Belt champ. Louisiana-Lafayette will take it to Appalachian State again, but this time the Cajuns will dig deep and may just find a wrinkle to get themselves over the hump against the Mountaineers. We’ll take the points here because this game has all the makings of one that will be settled by a late field goal in either direction.

Free Pick: 
Take Louisiana-Lafayette +6.5
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