College Football Picks - Free Weekly ATS Predictions
Whether you handicap your own games and consider yourself a savvy bettor and want to see what other cappers are playing or you are just looking for some free college football picks you've come to the right place. There are a plethora of sports sites that offer selections on college games or most other sports for no cost to you, but keep in mind that in most instances you get what you pay for which on most sites is "nothing for nothing". That is not the case at SBS where we have a team of expert NCAA handicappers whose only goal is to provide you the visitor the best play on the board. Not one of our cappers is trying to sell you his "Lock of the Year", "Big Ten Blowout" or "50 Star Pick of the Week". Do our college football bets win? We certainly don't win every game, but we do win more than we lose and individually we have had many 60% plus seasons lead by champion handicapper Rich Crew who is sure to improve your return on investment on your wagers this season. With detailed statistical analysis of every match-up on the board, scouring their sources on the web for inside information on team moral and player injuries and comparing their numbers against the line maker's for any possible edge is what our team does each day of the week to come up with their plays. We feel confident in stating that our team of prognosticators not only provides the best free against the spread NCAA football predictions but the best possible.
When we see a team with as poor of record as Nevada’s favored by significant margins at the open, we have to take a closer look. The Wolf Pack as a whole have been undervalued this year, displayed vividly in their far better against the spread record. Given how the public has reacted to the opening number, it seems that an overreaction is materializing before our very eyes to create a prime fade opportunity. After all, UNLV is a team that cannot be trusted. The Rebels own an outright win against Fresno State as a three-touchdown plus dog on the road this year but they were defeated at home by the Howard Bison in what was classed as the greatest against-the-spread upset in college football history. A team with such a Helter Skelter portfolio of results is a risky play and thus the number presented is no error. Swallow the points.
Central Florida is the better overall team in this matchup as one of the top teams in the nation, but a double-digit spread against a fierce conference rival that is also one of the best teams in the AAC could be a bit too much to handle. I would lean towards the Knights at home this Friday afternoon, but I am taking the 11.5 points and the Bulls to cover as my ‘best bet’ pick.
If there was ever a scenario that typifies trap game, this would be one of them. Miami has a huge date with Clemson looming just a week ahead in the ACC Championship Game. A College Football Playoff berth is on the line for The U and we can’t help but wonder if they will be distracted by this notion. The Panthers are not a team to overlook as they are a sleeper cell. Pitt has orchestrated upset wins against elite competition before. Just ask Clemson about Pitt’s exploits in Death Valley in 2016. Given the fact a potential bowl berth is on the line for Pitt, the Panthers will have plenty of motivation and feed off an animated environment. Miami should be placed on upset alert.
This situation sets up the Owls for a huge let-down be that it is a sandwich game against a weaker opponent in between the previous rivalry game and the Conference USA Championship next Saturday which FAU will curate at home in Boca. Chances are the Owls got bigger fish to fry here and they will treat this game as a scrimmage more than an actual competitive affair. We saw a similar narrative take shape with Auburn last week coming in off the heels of their huge win against the then #1-ranked Georgia Bulldogs as they faced UL Monroe on The Plains. With current #1 Alabama on the horizon, Auburn coasted through and failed to cover a lofty number in the process. A similar scenario will unfold here with the Owls. Given the fact they have covered whenever they wanted to (just ask Lane Kiffin), this is one of those spots where they elect not to for personal reasons. Take the points.
With each win Army picks up, the propensity for them to be overvalued becomes that much greater. This is especially the case when the public takes to them be that they are a well-known name across the college landscape. The problem is the Black Knights haven’t been this good in a long time. Nevertheless, they are up for quite the test against one of the nation’s hottest teams. This one has UNT written all over it be that the market is set to correct Army given its overachievement in the past two weeks.
The sad truth is that in this game one team has to be favored. That team is the team that is the invader and not the host. Louisiana-Lafayette has surprised on several occasions this year when they were a significant pooch so there is no reason to believe they cannot do the same here with home field advantage. New Mexico State’s most noteworthy win? Likely New Mexico but then again that was in a rivalry game where anything can happen. There are too many holes in this team for them to be a road favorite like this and thus ULL garners a look on the Money Line. However, for those looking to be conservative take the points.
This should be a great matchup between two of the best passing teams in the ACC. The Wolfpack need the win to keep moving up in the CFP rankings while Wake Forest is looking to enhance its position for the upcoming bowl season. While I would lead towards NC State getting points as the better all-around team, I am going to jump all over the 63-point total line with a play this game easily goes OVER.
Auburn’s demolition job of the then #1-ranked Georgia Bulldogs was bound to create a frenzy and even if the public has been sniffing that out, the number offered is nonetheless inflated through the ceiling. The Warhawks are simply a good football team and for many weeks were running with the top of the Sun Belt pecking order. By no means are we trying to imply that Auburn should be worried about an upset. However, CBS commentators themselves declared the Auburn will likely take a breather as they will be getting another #1 team coming to The Plains, next week. Chances are Auburn will treat this like a dress rehearsal and thus there are way too many points on the table here.
Texas Tech’s win on Saturday was discredited by virtue of the fact they achieved it against a team that has just one win this season. Situationally, this scenario sets up as a bounce-back for TCU but we would advise takers to think again. Tech will come into this contest with home field advantage and play with reckless abandon be that their season finale is a tough one to get that much needed sixth win. With bowl eligibility on the line expect the Red Raiders to give TCU everything it has.
Tulsa is not all that bad on the offensive side of the ball so it could make things interesting this Thursday night, but there is just too much on the line for the Bulls to take this game too lightly. I actually thought the betting line would have opened a few points higher, so I am going to quickly lay the 23 points with a ‘best bet’ that South Florida takes care of business at home both SU and ATS.
Rivalry games produce the unexpected. Thus, on many occasions you can throw out the point spread be that it is irrelevant to both participants in the contest. This is certainly the case here. For the first time perhaps in the history of this feud, the stakes may be more than just bragging rights. A win for Florida International keeps their C-USA East hopes alive if FAU were to stumble once again in their follow-up at Charlotte. For FAU, the Owls win the division if they knock off their arch nemesis. However, FAU is looking to avenge last year’s bitter defeat and there is no reason to suggest they won’t be able to do so. The amount of lumber that is required is questionable. After all, Florida International was spotting double digits last week and now they are taking back such a cushion this week. All because of one result. What we have here is a classic overreaction and sets up a prime fade opportunity against the Owls.
Situationally, this scenario offers value on the Cornhuskers be that the number is one that is an underdog-friendly one. The 2.5-point spot is one that is designed to attract attention and action on the favorite be that if said outfit wins by a field goal, takers green up. So far, the public has bit the bait and this narrative is furthered by the notion that Nebraska comes in off an overtime loss; a popular fade target. However, Minnesota has been a dangerous team to trust as a favorite this year as they have failed to cover in three of four occasions they were asked to be the giver not the taker. The ingredients set up perfectly to back the Huskers.
If there was ever an opportunity to back Ohio State with value, this would probably be it. The stock in Ohio State is at a new low after what transpired last Saturday in Iowa City. Furthermore, the successful upset bid by Michigan State against Penn State is bound to stir a frenzy and cultivate an environment for an overreaction. So far, the public seems to be generating such an event. It is very likely Ohio State came into the Iowa game hungover from their epic win against Penn State the week before and were caught off guard by a feisty Iowa bunch. Ohio State won’t make that mistake again in a game of this magnitude against an opponent whose quality is well accounted for. Ohio State will take care of business.
In this contest we have an opportunity to take back a likely short-sold favorite. First, we are targeting an overreaction to the Air Force loss last week as that is a significant variable in this equation. Furthermore, with Wyoming’s recent slew of wins there is a great propensity for the public to get aboard the Cowboys at the number on the table. That is exactly what happened. However, this figure is an accurate assessment as the Falcons option offense can effectively keep Wyoming quarterback Josh Allen off the field and limit his chances to generate offense. The Falcons as mentioned are looking to secure bowl eligibility and get the luxury of playing this one at home, setting up a snare for Wyoming and a great fade for us to take advantage of.
Despite the narrative of Oklahoma’s nation-leading offense against TCU’s stellar top-ten defense, the fact remains that both teams can light up the scoreboard. Given the Over/Under presented, the forecast is a shootout in Norman. With such a huge lean on the Under, the Over may offer tremendous upside be that last year nearly 100 points were scored between the two sides. With the implication of a shootout on the horizon, taking the points is also classed as an academic move. This play is further embellished by the fact that the five previous contests were settled by a touchdown or less. Thus, taking TCU with the points is also a value option.
Give credit to the Huskies for turning things around a bit following such a bad start, but they are in way over their heads this Saturday on road. Central Florida could go up big in this game and then call off the dogs in the fourth quarter to keep things closer than expected, but this could also have an impact on the total score. Both teams have recent betting trends favoring the UNDER and I am betting that this game stays UNDER the current 64.5-point as well.
The manner in which the two teams enter this venue is what sells Lafayette. Mississippi comes in off a hard-fought win and had they lost this market may have had an entirely different flavor to it. Be that as it may, the Ragin’ Cajuns have found their groove and it couldn’t have come at a better time. A SEC bias is likely driving the public opinion be that the Sun Belt is classed as a far weaker conference in comparison. However, what this affords us is likely inflated points. We will go ahead and take hold of them whilst we can.
One result can really change the perspective on a contest. Louisiana Tech’s loss at home to North Texas plummeted the stock of this outfit while FAU’s win over Marshall has driven it through the roof. The opening number is something that resonates with us be that it is a typical underdog number geared to entice action on the favorite. So far, the public has bitten and from what it appears an overreaction is certainly taking form. North Texas is a far improved football and thus we can forgive LA Tech for what transpired Saturday. Given the tactics of Owls Coach Lane Kiffin in his clock management against Marshall, it can be derived that Florida Atlantic cannot be trusted spotting this amount of points yet again against a well-coached outfit such as Louisiana Tech.
I went with North Carolina earlier in the season against Virginia Tech and paid the price, so I am still going to heavily discount that valiant effort against Miami two weeks ago. This is a bad team that should be looking forward to the end of the season. Pitt is still playing for a spot in a bowl game following a pair of big ACC victories and it knows that it cannot afford to look past this game with both the Hokies and the Hurricanes still on the slate. Lay the 10 points and take the Panthers to cover this Thursday night in prime time.