College Football Picks - Free Weekly ATS Predictions
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For those that wish to back Middle Tennessee State after what it had achieved, you can find yourself caught in a zig-zag. This is a terrible spot to be in. There is a reason why the Blue Raiders are dogs here yet again for the third week in a row against a team that is inferior in quality to both Marshall and Florida Atlantic. MTSU will likely come in flat here against a weaker opponent, and it will cost them against a team primed to be a live dog looking for a statement win this season.
The Cyclones will get out swinging early against the Mountaineers and look to make this a four-quarter game. If they do so, the home field advantage can ultimately influence the outcome of this contest, and the Cyclones will put themselves on the national radar with an exclamation point.
South Florida is off to a strong start behind an offense that knows how to score early and often. Tulsa has played well against the tougher competition it has faced, but it does not have the playmakers on offense to run with the Bulls in this conference clash.
I went against the Golden Hurricane last week against Houston, and it cost me, but even with this game in their own backyard, the spread is going to be tough to cover. Lay the points on Friday night and take South Florida SU and ATS.
Rivalry games produce the unexpected, and you can rest assured that the Eagles will be looking to end Western Michigan's recent spate of supremacy in this series. This perhaps is one of their better chances to do so, and they will cash in. Eagles get the call outright.
This is a game that has upset written all over it. San Jose State is hungry for a win. Colorado State is looking to re-group. When you combine these narratives with home field against the Rams, you can keep the points we will take the Spartans outright on the Money Line.
We will go ahead and give away the field goal-plus points and play this one as an outright upset. Had Wyoming put up any form of a fight against Boise State last week, the narrative would have been far contrasting this week. The bottom line also is that Hawaii seems lucky against cupcakes more than they are any good. This is a team that after all owns wins over two overrated teams in Colorado State and Navy while beating up Rice and Duquesne to round off their victories. Hawaii gets exposed this weekend.
Each of these teams has exceeded expectations with their fast starts out of the gate to add even more importance to getting a win in this matchup. There has to be some genuine concern with AJ Dillon's playing status for this game. My lean with still be towards NC State playing at home as the better all-around team.
Even if Dillon can go, he will most likely be limited to take away a big chunk of BC's running game. This sets the stage for an NC State win at home both SU and ATS.
Look this line opened at Iowa -3 and was quickly bet up to -6, and in this case, I think the steam may be correct. The Hawkeyes racked up 404 yards against the Badgers which was nearly 100 yards greater than they had allowed in a game this season. They rushed for 148 yards against Wisconsin surpassing the 100 yard mark for the fourth time this season. I don’t expect Iowa to have a problem running this week against a Minnesota team that was ripped for 315 yards on the ground last week by Maryland. The Gopher’s ability to run the ball will decide this game. Minnesota did have three consecutive games with over 100 yards rushing before last week’s 94, but what is a concern is the yards per carry. Excluding their opener against NMSU, they have been held to 2.9 yards or less per carry and now face Iowa’s top stop unit that did allow 210 to Wisconsin but held it’s first three to 126 yards on 82 attempts!
2.5 is generally an underdog-friendly number which also indicates that an upset is possible with a live dog here. Arizona State typifies this in every sense of the word as they will come into this affair with moxie and motivation. Colorado now has a larger target on their back, and it will get the best of them this week, Sun Devils outright get the call.
The fallacy that Liberty will roll New Mexico State by virtue of the fact they rolled New Mexico who smoked the Aggies is both a tongue-twister and misnomer. New Mexico is a team that is weak in the defense department and once they fall behind have trouble getting back into games by their option attack offense which kills the clock. NMSU is a different kind of animal and will attack on multiple fronts. Aggies outright get the call.
We will step in here and take advantage of what appears to be a clear-cut underlay. For Marshall, this primetime spot is an opportunity for them to show audiences what they are capable of against an opponent that has garnered some notoriety. Marshall’s stout rushing attack will force Middle Tennessee State to be one dimensional which puts tremendous pressure on Blue Raiders quarterback Brett Stockstill to deliver in quite a hostile road environment. We don’t like that proposition by the least. Marshall wins big in H-Town.
Tulsa was outmatched by Temple's bruising style of play its last time out, and it will have a really tough time handling Houston's speed and finesse this Thursday night. The Cougars are less concerned with how many points they give up with the simple goal of outscoring their opponents.
Both teams are well rested coming off the bye, but the gap in talent swings heavily in Houston’s favor. Thursday night should turn into another one-sided track meet with the Cougars covering the 17-point spread at home.
The loss of RB Jeremy Larkin is a big one for NU, but they have options. John Molten IV would be one of them. He's been primarily used as a short yardage back this season making his 1.8 yards a carry deceptive. Back in 2016 he picked up 340 yards on 57 rushes for a 6.0 average but missed most of last season with an injury. The Wolverines come into this game off of three dominating wins, but appear overvalued here on the road against a conference foe. Northwestern has extra rest are at home and may use the Larkin forced retirement as motivation.
We liked California as a dark horse to potentially vie for the Pac-12 Conference crown in 2018, and this venue will provide insight into why there was such optimism. California continues to improve on both sides of the football under Head Coach Justin Wilcox, and he will empower this bunch to take a step forward with a win against a traditional heavyweight. Bears outright get the call.
Hawaii will probably get itself closer to bowl eligibility with another win, but this one will be a lot more difficult than perhaps many can imagine. A spirited San Jose State team will come out swinging in hopes of trying to notch a win and get off the funk. Warriors win, but Spartans cover.
Florida benefited from six turnovers last week; that probably won't happen this week. Mississippi State, meanwhile, played a downer previous week, but we expect a bounce-back effort this week. We're don't especially like going along with the betting flow, but we are going with the zig-zag here and giving the points with the Bulldogs for our free college football pick.
It is a rare situation when a team from a major conference is a double-digit underdog against a Mid Major, but the gap in talent between the two on each side of the ball is rather apparent. Pitt can run the ball, but Central Florida can run it much better, and I would give the clear edge on defense to the home team.
This one could turn into a grinder to set up a play on the UNDER, but I am laying the 13.5 points with UCF winning this game by at least two touchdowns.
Buffalo will make an example out of Army and dominate them on both sides of the football. This one could easily get out of hand early in the game. Buffalo wins big and asserts it will in this New York state feud.
LSU should win this game because Ole Miss' defense is very iffy. But the Rebs are also capable of putting up 30 points on offense, which means the Tigers would need more than 40 to cover. Also, Ole Miss put on probably its best performance of this season in its only road game so far, while LSU is 0-2 ATS at home because it was favored by too much against Southeast Louisiana and Louisiana Tech. We're taking the points here with the Rebels.
The Eagles will take another step forward and end Northern Illinois’ dominance of this series to cement themselves as a contender for the MAC. The Eagles are the better team and will use this game as a platform to showcase their superiority.