The manner in which the two teams enter this venue is what sells Lafayette. Mississippi comes in off a hard-fought win and had they lost this market may have had an entirely different flavor to it. Be that as it may, the Ragin’ Cajuns have found their groove and it couldn’t have come at a better time. A SEC bias is likely driving the public opinion be that the Sun Belt is classed as a far weaker conference in comparison. However, what this affords us is likely inflated points. We will go ahead and take hold of them whilst we can.

I went with North Carolina earlier in the season against Virginia Tech and paid the price, so I am still going to heavily discount that valiant effort against Miami two weeks ago. This is a bad team that should be looking forward to the end of the season. Pitt is still playing for a spot in a bowl game following a pair of big ACC victories and it knows that it cannot afford to look past this game with both the Hokies and the Hurricanes still on the slate. Lay the 10 points and take the Panthers to cover this Thursday night in prime time.

Give credit to the Huskies for turning things around a bit following such a bad start, but they are in way over their heads this Saturday on road. Central Florida could go up big in this game and then call off the dogs in the fourth quarter to keep things closer than expected, but this could also have an impact on the total score. Both teams have recent betting trends favoring the UNDER and I am betting that this game stays UNDER the current 64.5-point as well.

Situationally, this scenario sets up ideally to back the Trojans and there are three major telling points as to why. First, Arizona enters off a huge win against one of the Pac-12’s favorite sons when they dismissed a Washington State team still hovering within the top-20. Combining this with Zona’s recent four-game surge inflates their stock. Secondly, Arizona is now in the Top 25 themselves as a result of their efforts which means that the markets will pay extra attention to them now that they are on the national radar. Many times, teams that enter the Top 25 for the first time in a season are a prime target to fade and often stumble in their follow-up. Going to the Coliseum against the Trojans is a great venue to do so. Lastly, USC is now at a point where they are actually off the radar. Lest we forget this was a team that boasted the services of a potential #1 draft pick and Heisman Winner in the off-season and was supposed to vie for a College Football Playoff berth. After the Trojans were smoked by Notre Dame two weeks ago, USC has left the sight of many analysts, pundits, and experts. Additionally, if there was a team due for a cover it is USC and given all these variables that we have mentioned the Trojans may offer tremendous value for the first time in a long time.

Both Virginia Tech and Miami have shown the ability to put points on the board moving the ball through the air and on the ground, but the main reason why both teams are amongst the top programs in the nation this season is each one’s shutdown defense. I am looking for a low-scoring street fight on Saturday night in South Florida led by both defenses with the total staying UNDER the current 50-point betting line.

What we have here is a prime bounce-back opportunity for TCU. The Longhorns have been extremely profitable this year in against the spread markets. In fact, the only they weren’t yielding dividends was when they were stymied in Austin by the visiting Maryland Terrapins. The hype machine surrounding Texas was in full effect entering that contest to coronate the beginning of the Tom Herman era. However, since then Texas has been vastly undervalued against some of the best teams in the Big 12 and they have been quite a formidable foe. This contest will change all of those narratives. While TCU came crashing back to Earth after their visit to Ames, they feature a coach that knows how to respond to these types of situations. The Longhorns will see a better edition of the Horned Frogs in the follow-up and TCU will cover this number.

From a market perspective these two teams have traveled in opposite directions. The Cowboys have been a broken slot machine and the Rams have been a broken piggy bank. With all these narratives taken into consideration, both teams are bound to correct. This contest seems like the crossroads to just that be that the opening price was -3.5, a favorite-friendly number. Though the analytics argue otherwise the early line move indicates that the bait has been bitten on the pup. Though Wyoming gets this contest at home, the Rams are still looking for a win this year to justify some of the lofty claims surrounding them. This affair sets up as the ideal stage to cultivate that performance.

Oklahoma has had a knack of playing down to their opposition’s level this year but they simply will not be able to get away with that against the Pokes. If they do, it will be a long day for the Crimson and Cream.

We understand that there is little merit in backing the Eagles, given the fact they could very well be the worst team in all of the FBS. With this being said, rivalry games bring out the unexpected and the market is acutely aware of this narrative. However, be that State has been riding a hot hand and has won four of their previous five, many have paid no mind to this. The opening number suggests that Southern is in position here to potentially pull off an upset and earn their first win of the season. Given the reaction from the public to head the other way, we have a quality fade opportunity ripe for the plucking.

How Penn State responds to the heartache it felt after losing to Ohio State makes them a very dangerous play this week when they go into a notoriously hostile environment. While Michigan State is reeling from an overtime defeat of their own, they feature a coach that knows how to respond to adversity and coach up his players. On the other hand, Penn State is still trying to figure out what exactly happened after they blew a big lead at The Horseshoe. We’ll take the points here.

In this contest, we are calling for a two-prong bet. First, when we see such heavy action on an underdog that in itself raises concern; even if the team in question is one as reputable as Marshall. We understand seeing Florida Atlantic can cause many takers to rub their eyes and do a double take. However, the number presented was done for just cause and we will go ahead and step in on a likely short-priced favorite. Furthermore, given the fact there has been such extensive action on the Under we can also take advantage of a seasonably priced Over market. Thus, we will spot the points and book the Over in this Friday night showcase.

Both teams needed the time off in light of their recent play, but Navy remains a much more talented team across the board in this matchup. Look for a heavy dose of the Midshipmen running the ball to control the clock and control the scoreboard on the road this Thursday night. Add in the revenge factor from last season’s lopsided loss to Temple in the AAC title game and it sets up a great opportunity to cash in on Navy ATS this time around.

Fresno State has been a bit of a broken slot machine as a whole dating back to last season. This is because the Bulldogs are one of the most improved teams in 2017 after what had to be classed as a tumultuous 2016-17 effort. As a result, teams of this nature are spotted more points than they should and continue to generate win after win until the market catches up to their proficiency. UNLV is in perfect position to take advantage of this. The Rebels’ losing streak combined with some of their losses against the spread diminishes their stock further and creates a scenario where we are looking at a friendly and inflated number to back them. Take the points.

Looking at the two sides from first glance, Washington State offers tremendous appeal. Relevancy and prevalence are the biases driving this market be that the Cougars have been one of the forces to reckon with in the Pac 12 as of recent. Arizona struggled mightily in 2016 and that morose outcome is something that remains in the minds of many takers heading into this contest. However, if there was any barometer of why one should go the other way with the Wildcats, that was on display two weeks ago. Washington State started off their season with a huge homestand and thus picked up many wins against lesser-quality opponents. Clearly, Arizona is a better edition of itself in 2017 and they curate the hosting duties in this one as well. Given the low line we see here, the market suspects that the Cougars may once against find themselves in a jam. Clearly, upset alert is on. In addition to looking at Arizona with the points, a proposition on the Money Line should also be considered.

If there was one thing that hurt the credentials of Penn State’s College Football Playoff resume it is there lack of competition as a whole this season. Many suspected that Michigan could be the team to challenge PSU be that they played pretty much no one in out-on-conference play and lacked encounters with any formidable threats in the Big Ten. The last time we saw Penn State enter into a hostile environment against a reputable foe, heroics were required for the Nittany Lions to escape Iowa unscathed. The problem is, Ohio State is too good of a team to let anything like that happen to them. Swallow the points.

As a whole laying lumber is something that can be very dicey. However, this situation sets up perfectly to do such a thing. Texas Tech relies on their offense to win games and in many instances, leaves their defense behind them. As a result, the Red Raiders have blown leads in their last two losses. The Sooners are looking to once again silence critics and showcase the heraldry they were given after defeating Ohio State in The Horseshoe earlier this year. With a primetime audience to convey the message, the Sooners will look to make an example out of the Red Raiders.

I had Clemson covering that three-touchdown plus spread against Syracuse two weeks ago and I think the week off gave every player more than enough time to reflect back on what went so horribly wrong that Friday night in the Carrier Dome.

Well rested and back on the field at the friendly confines of Memorial Stadium, I do have a high level of confidence that it will be business as usual with Clemson winning this game SU. However, I also have a high level of confidence that Georgia Tech’s dominant running game and stout defense will be able to keep things closer than the two touchdown spread in this contest.

The biggest storyline of the two teams taking the field in Morgantown is the potency and proficiency of their respective offensive units. Both teams like to the defense at home for the most part and engage in shootouts. Typically, the academic approach would be to book the dog in a shootout when the price is over a touchdown. However, almost all of the public has beaten us to it and heavy action on the dog usually signals a red flag. Nevertheless, this game will likely evolve to a basketball match on turf and as such the Over offers the best value in this contest.

I went against Memphis last Thursday night and paid the price. I also missed the obvious play on the OVER between two explosive scoring teams. Turning to this matchup, I am not going to make the same mistake twice in a row. While a play on the OVER in this game would probably make sense given the way that both teams have been able to put points on the board lately, I am going to lay the 10 points and take the Tigers to cover at home.

The stock on South Alabama is through the ceiling as they own two wins against two recognized names in the Sun Belt this season. Be that the Panthers were smashed by Troy (a team that South Alabama defeated as an 18-point pooch), the assumption here is that USA will have their way in this one. On the contrary, the Panthers will likely take advantage playing this one at home. To the eyes of State, South Alabama is a more winnable game and all GA State faithful know this too. The atmosphere will likely be far more animated and as a result State is certainly worth a look on the Money Line as well, given the low spread.