Florida Gators vs. South Carolina Gamecocks Week 8 Pick 10-19-19

Florida Gators vs. South Carolina Gamecocks Week 8 Pick 10-19-19

Darin Zank
Date: October 19, 12:00 pm
Location: Williams-Brice Stadium
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Florida -6.5
Total: 48

<p>
South Carolina pulled off the biggest upset of this college football season so far last week while Florida took a tough loss at LSU. Can the Gamecocks pull another trick out of their hat this week against the Gators? Or can Florida bounce back? And how are we playing this game for our free college football pick?
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<h2>
College Football Betting Odds<br />
</h2>
<p>
Week 8's college football betting odds opened Florida at -5.5 over South Carolina, with an over/under of right around 49. Early betting action then goosed the Gators to -6.5 and dipped that total to 48.
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<h2>
Gators vs. Gamecocks Set-Up<br />
</h2>
<p>
Florida just suffered its first loss of this season, a 42-28 decision at Louisiana State last Saturday night. The Gators trailed early 7-0 but battled back to lead 28-21 in the third quarter. Unfortunately, Florida allowed the Tigers to score the final 21 points of the game and lost not only straight up but also against the spread as 13.5-point underdogs.
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<p>
On the night, the Gators put up 457 yards of total offense and dominated time of possession by a 38-22 split. But Florida also turned the ball over twice, once on an interception and once on downs, inside the LSU red zone, while the Gators defense gave up 511 yards of Tigers offense and allowed three long touchdowns.
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<p>
Florida started 6-0 this season, despite some turnover at the quarterback position, with wins over Miami, Kentucky, Tennessee, and Auburn. So the Gators are 4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS against Power 5 opponents this year.
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<p>
South Carolina, meanwhile, just picked up its biggest victory in several seasons, a 20-17 overtime upset of previously undefeated Georgia in Athens last week. The Gamecocks, as 24-point underdogs, spotted the Bulldogs an early field goal, led 17-10 late into the fourth quarter, then let Georgia tie the score with just under two minutes to go. South Carolina eventually won it with a field goal in the second OT, and a subsequent Bulldogs miss.
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<p>
On the afternoon, the 'Cocks got out-gained by Georgia 468-297, made only 16 first downs to 30 for the Bulldogs and lost time of possession by a 36-24 split. But South Carolina won the turnover battle 4-0, creating about a plus-13 points differential.
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<p>
The Gamecocks started this season 2-3, with a win over Kentucky and losses to North Carolina, Alabama, and Missouri. So South Carolina is 2-3 SU but 3-2 ATS against Power 5 foes this year.
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<p>
Gamecocks quarterback Ryan Hilinski left last week's game with a knee injury, but early reports indicate he'll play this week.
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<h2>
Gators-Gamecocks Recent History<br />
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<p>
South Carolina is 5-4 SU, 5-3-1 ATS over the last nine meetings in this series, but Florida was 3-1 SU in the previous four, including a 35-31 victory down at the Swamp last year. The Gators spotted the Gamecocks the first 14 points of the game last season and trailed 31-14 late in the third quarter but ended the game with a 21-0 run for the win. However, Florida came up short that day of covering as a favorite of 6.5 points.
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<p>
Also, that game played over a total of 55.
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<h2>
College Football Betting Trends<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Florida is 5-1 both SU and ATS over its last six true road games, and 4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS in its most recent four times out as favorites on the road.
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<li>
South Carolina is 1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS its last five games as a home dog.
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Teams ranked in the AP Top 25 are 105-21 SU, 64-59 ATS against unranked teams this season.
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</ul>
<h2>
Totals Report<br />
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<ul>
<li>
Unders are 5-2 in Gators games this season, which are averaging 46 total points.
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Unders are 4-2 in Gamecocks games this season, which are averaging 52 points.
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</ul>
<p><section></p>
<ul>
<li>
<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/ncaaf/matchup/1116067">Florida at South Carolina NCAAF Match-up Stats</a> </span>
</li>
</ul>
<p></section></p>

Florida at South Carolina Prediction 10/19/19

South Carolina is coming off that huge win over Georgia, but a letdown this week almost seems inevitable. Florida, meanwhile, is coming off a tough loss, but we expect a bounce-back effort this week. So we're giving the points with the Gators here for our free college football pick.

Free Pick: Take the Florida Gators -6.5
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