Bahamas Bowl - FIU Panthers vs. Toledo Rockets Pick

December 21, 12:30 PM EST

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Toledo -6

The Toledo Rockets (7-5) will take on the Florida International Panthers (8-4) at the Makers Wanted Bahamas Bowl for a Conference-USA versus MAC showdown. The kick-off time set for 12:30 PM ET and will be televised on ESPN. The Rockets and Panthers last met in 2010 at the Little Caesar’s Pizza Bowl where the Panthers defeated the Rockets 34-32 to produce a push as a two-point choice. The teams met two other times previous to this from 2009 to 2010 where each program won at home.

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Florida International Panthers vs. Toledo Rockets Overview

Florida International Panthers

The Panthers come into this contest on the heels of a 28-25 loss at home suffered against The Thundering Herd of Marshall on November 25th. Despite losing in their most recent outing, the Panthers have gone 3-0 ATS in their preceding three fixtures.

Toledo Rockets

The 2017 MAC Champions muscled their way into the post-season winning four of their last five matches to earn their bid to the Bahamas Bowl. To close out their season, Toledo impressively blew out Central Michigan 51-13 to cover as a 19-point favorite on November 23rd.

Reasons To Avoid Toledo

The Rockets own the 84th ranked scoring defense which gives up 30.4 points per game. Very simply, the Rockets live and die by their 11th-ranked scoring offense (41.1 points per game) and try to outscore opponents in a basketball game on grass or turf. Teams with such an approach to the game can be a hazardous option to lay this amount of points with to an FIU team that scores 34.6 points per game (30th nationally) in its own right.

Reasons To Back Florida International

In addition to the potential risks that have been outlined, the forecast for this game is a shootout predicated on the high total line. In such a spot, the academic move is to take the points. Moreover, this is the most amount of points we have seen Florida International granted since they were a 26.5-point pooch at the Miami Hurricanes on September 22nd where FIU came under that number with ease losing by just 14.

Florida International vs. Toledo Prediction 12/21/2018

Despite Toledo’s surge to the post-season it still remains a question how motivated this team will be for this match. A year ago, Toledo found itself in the Dollar General Bowl in a high-profile collision with Appalachian State, the Sun Belt Champion. Regardless, Toledo got shutout. However, by comparison, this contest could be classed as a step-down for the Rockets, and they may just treat this as a formality. FIU has not won a bowl in eight years and the last time they did was against Toledo. Coach Butch Davis will use this ironic twist of fate as a motivational tool. Still, Toledo may win here, but the number presented affords the possibility of FIU to keep this one close and cover in what will be a one-possession game.

Free Pick: 
Take Florida International +6
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