Army Black Knights at Texas-San Antonio Road Runners Pick

Date: 
September 14, 3:30 PM EDT
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Texas-San Antonio +16
Total: 
OFF

The Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners (1-1) will host the Army Black Knights (1-1) on Saturday, September 14th, 2019 in the good ole Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas. Kick-off is scheduled for 3:30 PM ET and will be televised on ESPN+. Army and Texas-San Antonio have never met previously.

Last week, we put together a strong showing going 2-1 ATS in our three plays. We came in under the number in the Friday night game when Marshall closed as a 14-point dog and engaged Boise State in a 14-7 defensive battle. We took a bad beat on the chin with Texas State falling 23-14 against Wyoming despite leading in the game as a 7.5-point underdog and followed this up with a strong finish when we took Oregon State as a six-point dog, and they took Hawaii to the wire, falling 31-28.

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Army Black Knights at Texas-San Antonio Road Runners Key Injury Concerns

Heading into the third game of the 2019-20 campaign for both the Black Knights and the Road Runners, neither squad has any injuries to report.

Army Black Knights at Texas-San Antonio Road Runners Overview

Army Black Knights

Army West Point came into their collision last Saturday with highly-touted Michigan in the Big House with the second-longest win streak in America besides the defending National Champions, the Clemson Tigers. Closing as a 21.5-point underdog, the Black Knights demonstrated how they attained such a spate of dominance as they took the Wolverines to double overtime before coming up short in a 24-21 thriller. For all intent and purposes, a couple of crucial Army mistakes separated the Black Knights from pulling the upset outright. Most notably, a pick-six that allowed Michigan to get back into the game as opposed to having Army go up two scores and then, of course, the fumble in double overtime to allow the Maize and Blue to slip away.

Texas-San Antonio Road Runners

The Road Runners come into this contest on the heels of a 63-14 beat-down suffered at the hands of in-state foe Baylor when they traveled to Waco on Saturday. UTSA closed as a 25-point underdog and never were competitive in the game as the Bears went to work on them. UTSA opened their 2019 season with a 35-7 win over Incarnate Word.

Reasons To Avoid Army Black Knights

The Black Knights are very much prone to enter into this contest flat after suffering such a heartbreaking loss. While Army has my respect and I herald their discipline, the manner in which they lost could get the best of anyone, and they may struggle to get going in the first quarter of play which may allow UTSA to hang around. On the flip side, we are seeing Army underdog a 37.5-point swing in just a week (from 21.5-point pooch to 16-point chalk) which signals that a potential zig-zag also taking shape as the market perception of this team can be overinflated due to how good they looked against a Michigan team many have touted for the College Football Playoff.

Reasons To Back Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners

Let's call it what it is. The RoadRunners are not a team that is going to garner a lot of hype and excitement from the general public. One of the ways the market will try to get many onboard is by inflating the price on UTSA to entice even some professionals to take action. This is where we step in. The fact remains, UTSA's style of play is very similar to Army in that they too are a run-first option team. Should both sides get their rushing attacks going, it is hard to imagine anyone winning this game by significant margins albeit run-heavy option football is not exactly the most exciting nor does it light up scoreboards, generally speaking.

Army at Texas-San Antonio Prediction 09/14/2019

I can see this game being settled by two scores, but this game will never truly get away from UTSA. Given the styles of play and methodical pace that both teams generally play at, a two-touchdown lead can seem daunting to overcome. UTSA will malinger for three quarters until Army finally puts them away. I can't see Army getting ahead by more than three touchdowns, especially since both their passing and kicking game are suspect. The Black Knights will be forced to go for touchdowns only, and they will do so in the most one-dimensional way imaginable which makes this number seem a bit hard to overcome. Should the Black Knights get up by more than two scores nothing is stopping a late junk-time touchdown to bring Frank Wilson's Road Runner crew under this number, as well.

Free Pick: 
Take Texas-San Antonio +16
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