Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Georgia Bulldogs Betting Pick

Date: 
October 2, 12:00 PM EDT
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
ARK +18/UGA -18
Total: 
48

A massive SEC showdown will take place between the hedges in Athens on Saturday when the no. 2 Georgia Bulldogs host the no. 8 Arkansas Razorbacks at Sanford Stadium. Despite being 35 point favorites against a rival SEC opponent last week, the Bulldogs dismembered Vanderbilt to the tune of a 62-0 shutout. The Bulldogs already took down No. 3 Clemson back in the season opener and will face another steep challenge on Saturday against a visiting Razorbacks team on the heels of an impressive 20-10 victory over no. 7 Texas A&M. Like the Bulldogs, Arkansas has been impressive this season with two victories over top 15 opponents and will be getting a whopping 18 points in their trip to Athens.

In many ways, this will be the age-old classic battle that features a dynamic offense vs. a dominating defense. The Bulldogs have the nation's top defense by a wide margin. The Bulldogs have given up just 23 points combined through 4 games this season and are only allowing 181 total yards per game. Meanwhile, on the other side of the ball, Arkansas has experienced their best start in the modern era thanks to an improved offense that has been sparked by dual-threat quarterback KJ Jefferson. The sophomore quarterback has thrown for 844 yards with six touchdowns and just two interceptions on the season. While those passing numbers may not be overwhelming, Jefferson's running ability combined with the Razorbacks elite rushing offense is a proven weapon, just as they showed in last week's meeting against Texas A&M. While A&M's defense was a solid test, Arkansas will have their hands full with an even better defense on Saturday.

Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Georgia Bulldogs Betting Trends

  • Arkansas is 5-1 ATS in the last six games
  • Arkansas is 4-2 ATS in the last six games against Georgia
  • Arkansas has hit the "over" in 4 of the last six games
  • Arkansas is 1-13 SU in the last 14 games on the road
  • Arkansas is 1-8 SU in the last nine games against Georgia
  • Georgia is 5-2 ATS in the last seven games
  • Georgia is 8-0 SU in the last eight games
  • Georgia has hit the "over" in seven of the last nine games
  • Georgia has hit the "over" in 6 of the last six games against SEC opponents

Arkansas vs. Georgia Betting Analysis

While the Arkansas offense vs. Georgia defense will be the battle that many spectators anticipate. I am highly focused on the battle on the other side of the football as a bettor. As a rule of thumb, we should never look at the box score from the prior week. Case in point, Georgia's 62 point blowout over Vanderbilt probably paints a biased picture that the Bulldog's offense is consistent and reliable. In reality, Georgia's offense is nothing to get excited about. Quarterbacks JT Daniels and Stetson Bennett are subpar quarterbacks that can only be classified as game-managers. The Bulldogs rely heavily on their running attack to open things up in the passing game.

ARK +18/UGA -18

The problem is that Georgia's rushing attack is not at the elite level we have seen in previous years. The Bulldogs have produced just 709 yards on the ground through the first four games, and tailback Zamir White leads the team with a modest 207 yards. Despite the public's perception, this Bulldogs offense is not very frightening without the help of their defense. Meanwhile, Arkansas' defense is very underrated. The Razorbacks have a bend but don't break style against the run and match-up well against Georgia's passing attack. Simply put, this is a match-up that can be won by the Arkansas' defense. Therefore, I will gladly take the 18 points and take my chances that the Arkansas' offense finds a few ways to create scoring opportunities. There is simply too much value in the underdog to ignore!

Free Pick: 
Take the Razorbacks +18