ACC Championship Game Clemson Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Panthers Pick - Betting Odds

Date: 
December 1, 8:00 PM EST
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Clemson -26
Total: 
56

The 12-0 Clemson Tigers from the ACC’s Atlantic Division square off against the Coastal Division Champion Pittsburgh Panthers in this season’s conference title game. Kickoff on Saturday night in Charlotte is set for 8 p.m. on ABC.

Clemson vs. Pittsburgh Game Overview

Clemson has one last test to pass for a return trip to this season’s College Football Playoff. The Tigers passed their first 12 tests this season straight-up with an even 6-6 record against the spread after failing to cover as 26-point home favorites in Saturday's 56-35 victory against rival South Carolina. The total went way OVER the 58.5-point closing line, and it has gone OVER in three of their last five games.

Trevor Lawrence earned his role as Clemson's starting quarterback with 2,488 yards passing and 22 touchdown throws, but look for the Tigers to rely on a heavy dose of a running game that is averaging 256.3 rushing yards per game. Lighting up the scoreboard has been somewhat common for an offense averaging 45.7 points per game, but the defense should be able to win this game for Clemson after allowing an average of just 14.0 points per game.

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The Panthers’ 6-2 SU run to the Coastal Division title ended on a sour note with Saturday’s 24-3 loss to Miami (FL) as five-point road underdogs. This was their first SU loss in their last five games, and it was the first time Pittsburgh failed to cover in its previous seven contests. The total has stayed UNDER in three of its last four games. The Panthers come into this game with a 5-3 record ATS in eight games this season as underdogs.

Pitt will have to quickly move past last Saturday's break in momentum in a game that they looked past in the first place. The margin for error to have any shot at keeping things close is less than zero. Clemson has made a steady habit of taking full advantage of its opponent's mistakes which is why it is crucial for the offense to quickly establish its running game, which has averaged 232.7 yards per game. They also have to tighten up a defense that gave up 27.8 points a game.

Clemson vs. Pittsburgh Betting Trends

  • The Tigers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games played at a neutral site, and they are 7-1 ATS in their last eight December games. The total has stayed UNDER in six of their previous eight games in December.
  • The Panthers have gone 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games in December, but they have failed to cover in five of their last six neutral-site games. The total has stayed UNDER in 11 of their last 16 ACC games.
  • These two last met in 2016 with Pitt pulling off a stunning 43-42 upset as a heavy 21.5-point road underdog. The total went OVER the closing 61-point line.

Clemson vs. Pittsburgh Prediction 12/01/2018

Clemson should win this game going away, but something tells me that Pitt will be a tougher out than expected. I think the Panthers got caught looking past Miami last Saturday with their spot in this title game already secured.

While I do not think the outcome of this game will be in question into the fourth quarter, I am betting the Panthers to cover in what should remain a two or three touchdown margin of victory.

Free Pick: 
Take Pittsburgh +26
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