Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers at Cleveland State Vikings Odds Analysis - Free Pick

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Date: 
January 6, 3:30 PM EST
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Cleveland State +2.5
Total: 
135.5

The Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers and Cleveland State Vikings will lock horns in Cleveland, Ohio on Saturday, January 6th, 2018 at 3:30 PM ET. The affair is an Horizon League match of essence to both clubs and will be aired on ESPN3. In the current Horizon League standings, the Panthers set at 1-2 whilst the Vikings are 1-1. The two are sitting in the middle of the pack in terms of positioning. As of late, Milwaukee has had Cleveland’s number. The Panthers have won four of the last five against the Vikings. The one loss took place in the Vikings stead when they dominated Milwaukee by a score of 62-53. Last year, Milwaukee escaped Cleveland by virtue of a dramatic conclusion when they hosted the Vikings and won 63-62. >Cleveland State hosted Green Bay on Thursday night and edged them in an 80-79 win. The Vikings closed as a 1.5-point favorite in this market and failed to cover. As for Wisconsin-Milwaukee they were upset on the road two nights ago as a 7.5-point favorite at Youngstown State.

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Straight Up and Against the Point Spread Records:

Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers, 8-8 SU, 5-9 ATS Cleveland State Vikings, 4-11 SU, 5-7 ATS

Key Betting Trends:

Wisconsin-Milwaukee is 0-4 ATS in their previous four overall.

  • Cleveland State is 4-3 SU at home this season.
  • Wisconsin-Milwaukee is 2-6-1 ATS in the previous nine meetings against Cleveland State.
  • Home team is 9-1-1 ATS in their previous 11 meetings.

Public Money:

Out of the gate, we have seen the market lower by half of a point indicating that action has come in on Cleveland State. On the contrary, 100% of the ticket and cash action is shown to be with Wisconsin-Milwaukee. In Over/Under markets, we have seen a 1.5-point rise thanks to action on the Over.

Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers at Cleveland State Vikings Prediction 1/6/18

There are several moving parts to this spot that make the Vikings a value play. First, as we have championed previously home court advantage is a huge angle to work with in college hoops. When we look at a team like Cleveland State, this narrative is on full display. The Vikings are winless on the road this year. The Panthers are 3-4 SU when they are not playing ball in Milwaukee. A situation like this one where the host is taking back points offers tremendous value in itself. The small line suggests that the hosts are in position to not only cover but win outright.

Secondly, Cleveland State has one of the worst luck quotients in America according to KenPom. The Vikings sit 321st in that department which means they have been on the losing end of close games at an abnormal rate. The Vikings are due for a correction to win some of these close games and given the variables this looks to be a premium spot to do so.

Free Pick: 
Take Cleveland State +2.5
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