Weber State Wildcats at Sacramento State Hornets Pick

February 21, 10:05 PM EST

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Sacramento State +2

The Weber State Wildcats (16-10) and the Sacramento State Hornets (11-12) will square off in a Big Sky conference collision on Thursday, February 21st, 2019. The Wildcats have held the upper hand in this series as of late as they have won the last three meetings between both parties and have a fostered a cover in each occasion while doing so. Most recently, Weber State hosted Sacramento State earlier this month and defeated them 75-65 to cover as an eight-point chalk. The contest will be streamed on PlutoTV with a tip-off time of 10:05 PM ET.
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Weber State Wildcats at Sacramento State Hornets Overview

Weber State Wildcats

The Wildcats come into this contest off a 94-82 win against the Montana State Grizzlies on February 16th. The victory enabled Weber State to cover as a five-point favorite and improved their Big Sky conference record to 10-5.

Sacramento State Hornets

The Hornets fell prey to an upset five days ago when they were defeated on their own court by the visiting Northern Arizona Lumberjacks who closed as a seven-point underdog when they came to town. The final tally resulted in NAU defeating the Hornets significantly by a score of 78-66.

Reasons To Avoid Weber State

In the Big Sky Conference, the Wildcats are a bit of a household name as they last competed in the Men's Basketball Tournament in 2016. Sacramento State has never made it to the Big Dance. Given the pedigree of the Wildcats combined with their win streak both against the spread and straight up regarding Sacramento State, the Cats are prone to an overreaction. With 78% of the consensus like Weber State here such an event seems well underway. Moreover, with the Wildcats spotting a basket to the Hornets despite beating them by double-digits when they met earlier this month, the Wildcats look like easy money here. However, as we have championed on many occasions, there is no such thing.

Reasons To Back Sacramento State

Sacramento State remains a tough out on their own court as they are 7-4 SU in the Hornets’ Nest. This is a team that plays winning basketball on its own hardwood, and thus Weber State may find themselves subjected to home court advantage working against them. Furthermore, the Hornets play better defense as they are own a 99th-ranked scoring defense that gives up just 68.3 points per game. Weber State’s defense sits 245th giving up 74 points per game. In a game that is forecasted to be settled by a basket, every point will count, and the Hornets own a distinctive edge in giving up points compared to their counterparts. When you combine this narrative with their stronger bench play, the Hornets can sting the Wildcats here.

Weber State at Sacramento State Prediction 02/21/2019

Sacramento State by all indications should control the ebbs and flow of this game which means that an upset is likely in the works. While this game may indeed come to a basket, the Hornets will likely win this one by a more decisive margin as their defense create some separation from their overvalued opponents that are favored strictly by recency bias and tournament pedigree.

Free Pick: 
Take Sacramento State +107
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