Virginia Tech Hokies at North Carolina Tar Heels Pick - Odds and Against the Spread Prediction
In ACC Monday betting action we have Virginia Tech visiting UNC at the Dean Smith Center in Chapel Hill. North Carolina. The odds board has the Tar Heels as a consensus -4 favorite with a total line of 155 points. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 PM ET, and this game can be viewed on ESPN.
Virginia Tech comes into this match off a good 87-71 home win over Wake Forest failing to get the money as large 18.5 points spread favorite. The win put an end to a one-game losing streak, and the ATS loss extended their run to four consecutive games. The combined 158 points easily flew over the 142 closing total line for the Hokies fourth OVER in their last five matches.
North Carolina followed up their 75-69 home victory over Notre Dame with a nice 85-76 road victory over Miami as a -7 point road fav. The spread win was their first after two straight failed covers. The 161 total points scored had OVER bettors cashing for the first time in the last eight UNC games.
The Tar Heels lost their only meeting last season getting smoked 80-69 as small -3.5 road chalk. They did win the seven prior meetings in this series but only had a 2-5 ATS mark in those victories. The UNDER has been a bankroll padding six straight contests falling below the closing O/U line.
- Virginia Tech is 10-1 straight-up in its last 11 games, but only 1-4 ATS in their previous five.
- The total has gone UNDER the total in seven of their last nine games that Virginia Tech has played.
- VT is 0-5 in the last five road meetings against UNC.
- UNDER has cashed in seven of North Carolina’s last eight games overall.
The public is going all in on UNC with 73% of the point spread bets landing on the Tar Heels. To an extent, the same could be said for the total that has seen 59% of the wagers fall on the UNDER.
VT at UNC Prediction 1/21/19
It may sound odd, but I don’t think that the Tar Heels have enough offense to get past the Hokies tonight. Virginia Tech rarely gives up more than 70 points doing so on just three occasions and while that happened in their last two the game against Wake Forest (87-71) they ran into foul trouble and played a lot of back-ups in the second half. North Carolina shot over 50% from the field in their latest which was the first game in their last eight that they have eclipsed that mark, so it's not a given that they'll repeat. The Hokies have edges in shooting, turnover margin and if they can win the battle on the boards should win this outright.