Villanova Wildcats vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs Odds Analysis - Free Pick

Date: 
December 5, 7:00 PM EST
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Villanova -5
Total: 
149

The 4th ranked Villanova Wildcats (8-0) face the 12th ranked Gonzaga Bulldogs (7-1) in a non-conference game that will take place at a neutral site at the Madison Square Garden in New York, New York in the Jimmy V Classic at 7:00 PM. Villanova are the 5-point home favorite with a total offered at 149.

In their last game Villanova was on the road and they laid a 94-53 beat down on St. Joseph’s. Mikal Bridges was the high scorer for the Wildcats with 18 points on 6/12 shooting and he hit four of his seven 3-pointers. James Demery was the high scorer for St. Joseph’s with 14 points on 6/17 shooting. Villanova played 14 players in the blowout game, had a 14-point halftime lead, and for the game played great on both ends of the floor shooting 50.8% from the field and holding St. Joseph’s to 32.8% shooting. The Wildcats easily covered the spread as a 14-point favorite and UNDER bettors easily cashed with the combined points falling 12 points shy of the total line. Something to note, this will be Villanova’s first game of the season against a ranked team.

Gonzaga was at home in their latest where they crushed a ranked Creighton team 91-74 easily cashing as a nine-point favorite on the point spread line. The 165 combined points put on the board by the two clubs slid over the 162 total line. Killian Tillie was the high scorer for the Bulldogs with 22 points on 9/16 shooting adding eight rebounds and Silas Melson had 21 points on 7/8 shooting hitting four of his five 3-pointers. Marcus Foster was the high scorer for the Bluejays with 21 points on 8/20 shooting and he hit five of his nine 3-pointers. After Gonzaga was down seven points at the half they outscored Creighton by 24 points in the 2nd half and for the game they shot 54.4% from the floor and the Bluejays shot 48.3%. Gonzaga has won three in a row since suffering their only loss of the season against a ranked Florida team in overtime.

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Villanova ranks tied for 30th in the nation in ppg and 21st in opponents’ ppg and Gonzaga ranks 4th in ppg and 202nd in opponents’ ppg.

This is the first ever meeting between these teams.

This season Villanova is 6-2 ATS with an O/U record of 4-4 and Gonzaga is 3-2 ATS with an O/U record of 3-2.

SAGARIN RATINGS

Villanova: 94.27
Gonzaga: 89.83

INJURY REPORT

VILLANOVA
NONE

GONZAGA
[F] 12/04/2017 - Corey Kispert is "?" Tuesday vs Villanova ( Ankle )

Key Betting Trends

  • NOVA is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games
  • NOVA is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a winning record
  • NOVA has an Under record of 23-11 in their last 34 games
  • GONZ is 34-15-2 ATS in their last 51 games
  • GONZ is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after an ATS win
  • GONZ has an Over record of 7-2 in their last 9 games after an ATS win

Villanova Wildcats vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs Prediction 12/5/2017

Admittedly, Nova hasn’t played the toughest schedule this season, but they’ve yet to lose with the smallest margin of victory coming against the Vols (six points). In that game, Villanova was playing back-to-back and ran into a team that couldn’t miss in the first half scoring 46 points to race out to a 12-point half time lead. That half aside they have not allowed an opponent to score more that 30 points in the first half. Tonight’s opponent ZAGA has just the one loss on the season and that was against the Gators in overtime. Like Villanova, Gonzaga has been playing excellent defense holding the opposition in all lined games to fewer than their seasonal average in regulation. In their last four games with a line they’ve held their opponent to 12.3 or greater points below their average. Both these teams can shoot, so it could go the other way, but I’ll take my chances of the defenses playing to form tonight.

Free Pick: 
Take the UNDER 149 (CK)
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