USC Trojans vs. UCLA Bruins NCAAB Pick - Odds Analysis

USC Trojans vs. UCLA Bruins NCAAB Pick - Odds Analysis

Rich Crew
Date: February 3, 6:00 pm
Location: Pauley Pavilion
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: UCLA -2
Total: 156.5

<p>
The UCLA Bruins (15-7) host the USC Trojans (17-6) in a Pac 12 game at the Pauley Pavilion in Los Angeles, California on Saturday, February 3, 2018, at 6:00 PM ET. The NCAA betting board lists UCLA as a 2-point home favorite with a total line offered up at 156.5 points.
</p>
<p>
In their last game, USC was at home where they beat up PAC-12 rival California 77-59 getting the victory and the money as a -16.5 points spread favorite.The strong defensive play by Southern California help hold the total UNDER the 145 closing line. In the game, Elijah Stewart and reserve Jonah Mathews were the top scorers for the Trojans each picking up 16 points and they were the only players on the team that recorded a double-double. Marcus Lee was the high scorer for the Golden Bears with 23 points on 10/14 shooting, and he also had 12 rebounds. USC outscored California by 16 points in the second half to extend the margin. Overall in the game, they shot 44.4% from the floor, and they held the Golden Bears to an impressive 38.6 FG%. USC has won six in a row and eight of their last nine games with their lone loss being by one point on the road against Stanford. In Pac-12 games, they're 8-2 straight up and 7-3 against the spread.
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<p>
UCLA was at home in their last game where they beat Stanford 89-73 easily covering the -6 betting line. The offensive outburst by both squads sent this game OVER the total. In the match, Aaron Holiday was the high scorer for the Bruins with 21 points on 5/11 shooting going 9/9 from the free throw line and four starters on the squad scored at least 13 points. Daejon Davis was the high scorer for the Cardinals recording 23 points on 9/19 shooting, and he also added ten assists. UCLA outscored Stanford by 13 points in the first half scoring 49 points and coasted in the second. For the game, they shot 52.8% from the floor while the Cardinal countered with a 45.9 FG%. UCLA has won two straight after dropping three in a row to move their conference record to 6-4 SU and ATS.
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<p>
USC ranks 54th in the nation in ppg and 146th in opponents’ ppg, and UCLA ranks 29th in ppg and 268th in opponents’ ppg.
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<p>
This game is the first meeting between these teams this season, and last season they split the two regular-season games with each winning at home and UCLA beat USC in the conference tournament.
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<p>
This season USC is 15-8 ATS with an O/U record of 9-12-2 and UCLA is 10-12 ATS with an O/U record of 12-10.
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<h2>
SAGARIN RATINGS<br />
</h2>
<p> USC: 84.23<br />
UCLA: 83.10</p>
<h3>
INJURY REPORT<br />
</h3>
<p> <b>USC </b></p>
<p>
(!)[F] 02/02/2018 - Bennie Boatwright is "?" Saturday vs. UCLA ( Foot )<br />
[G] 12/16/2017 - De'Anthony Melton is out for season ( Eligibility )
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<p> <b>UCLA </b></p>
<p>
F] 11/08/2017 - Jalen Hill is out for season ( Suspension )<br />
[G] 12/04/2017 - LiAngelo Ball is out for season ( Left Team )<br />
[F] 12/22/2017 - Cody Riley is out for season ( Suspension )<br />
[C] 02/02/2018 - Ikenna Okwarabizie is "?" Saturday vs. USC ( Concussion )
</p>
<h2>
USC at UCLA NCAAB Key Betting Trends<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
USC is 5-1 ATS in their last six games
</li>
<li>
USC is 9-2 ATS in their previous 11 road games
</li>
<li>
USC has an Under record of 4-0 in their last four games
</li>
<li>
UCLA is 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games
</li>
<li>
UCLA is 15-7 ATS in their previous 22 games against a team with a winning record
</li>
<li>
UCLA has an Under record of 4-1 in their last five home games
</li>
</ul>
<h2>
Trojans vs. Bruins Betting Angles<br />
</h2>
<p>
USC is 5-1 ATS in their last six games against UCLA.
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<p>
The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five games between these teams.
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<p>
In the last 11 games between these teams, the Over record is 8-3.
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<p>
In the last seven games between these teams at UCLA, the Over record is 6-1.
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</div>

USC at UCLA Prediction 2/3/18

The Trojans have road their superior defensive play to six straight victories. Over the winning streak, USC held each opponent to below their season average and can keep the Bruins scorers in check today. UCLA like most teams hold visitors to a lower scoring average then they do on the road, and that has been the primary factor in four of the last five home games coming in under the total.

Free Pick: Take the UNDER 156.5
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