Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Purdue Boilermakers Sweet 16 Odds - Prediction

March 23, 9:57 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Purdue -2

In the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament in the East Region, the 3rd seed Texas Tech Red Raiders (26-9) face the 2nd seed Purdue Boilermakers (30-6) in a game. The neutral site game held at the TD Garden in Boston, MA at 9:57 PM ET Friday, March 23. Purdue is the 1.5-point favorite with the total offered at 138 points.

In their last game in the second round of the NCAA Tournament, Texas Tech defeated Florida 69-66 in a hard-fought battle. The three-point margin of victory was good enough to not only get the straight-up victory but also the point spread win as a -1.5 point betting favorite. The 135 points put on the board by the two clubs sent the game OVER the 133.5 total line.

In the game, Keenan Evans was the high scorer for the Red Raiders going for 22 points on 8 of 14 shooting, Zhaire Smith went for 18 points and nine rebounds, and three players from the team scored at least 11 points. Jalen Hudson was the high scorer for the Gators going for 23 points on 8 of 16 shooting with two other starters on the squad going for at least 11 points. Texas Tech outscored Florida by four points in the 2nd half after being down one at the half to get the “W”. For the game they lost the battle of the boards but had a 44.4 FG% while holding the Gators to a 39.7 FG%. Texas Tech has won four of their last five games, and for the season they are 5-2 in games held at a neutral site.


Purdue beat Butler 76-73 in their last game in the NCAA Tournament getting the win but failing to get the money for their backers as a -4-point spread favorite. The 149 points put on the board gave the Boilermakers their third OVER in their last five games 3-1-1 versus the O/U line.

Vincent Edwards was the high scorer for the Boilermakers going for 20 points on 6 of 28 shooting and four of five starters for the team went for at least 11 points. Kelan Martin was the high score for the Bulldogs going for 29 points on 9 of 18 shooting, and he was one of only two players for the squad to go for double figures. For the game, Purdue shot 50% from the floor and Butler shot 49.1 and the Boilermakers won the three-point battle hitting on 45.8% of their shots from behind the arc. Purdue has won seven of their last eight games, and on the season they are 6-3 in games played on a neutral court.

Texas Tech ranks 146th in the nation in ppg and 15th in opponents’ ppg, and Purdue ranks 38th in ppg and 24th in opponents’ ppg.

This game will be the first-ever meeting between these teams.

This season Texas Tech is 14-16-1 ATS with an O/U record of 14-17 and Purdue is 16-1\8-1 ATS with an O/U record of 16-18-1.

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Texas Tech: 88.64
Purdue: 92.58



(!)[C] 03/16/2018 - Isaac Haas is out for season ( Elbow )
[F] 12/22/2017 - Eden Ewing is out for season ( Dismissed )

Key Betting Trends

  • TECH is 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games
  • TECH is 7-3 ATS in their previous ten non-conference games
  • TECH has an Over record of 6-2 in their last eight games
  • PUR is 3-12-1 ATS in their previous 16 games
  • PUR is 8-3 ATS in their last ten games after an ATS win
  • PUR has an Over record of 3-1-1 in their previous five games

Texas Tech vs. Purdue Sweet 16 Prediction

The Red Raiders have gone 4-1 in their last five games, and the improvement can be attributed to improved defensive play and especially in their last four holding their opponents to fewer than 70 points in all four. The Boilermakers are no slouch on defense either allowing 65.4 points per game this season. They may be without 7'2" foot center Isaac Haas, but Texas Tech doesn’t have a big man to take advantage of his absence if he doesn’t go. I would have liked to see a low 140 total line here, but with two the better defensive efficiency teams in this game the line does still offer some value.

Free Pick: 
Take the UNDER 138 (RC)

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