Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers Pick

March 14, 7:00 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
PSU -2.5

Penn State vs. Minnesota betting prediction from expert handicapper Rich Crew. Get his free ATS pick with analysis on this Big Ten conference game.

The Penn State Nittany Lions and the Minnesota Golden Gophers take the court of the United Center in Chicago on Wednesday night in Big Ten Conference action. The NCAA basketball board shows PSU as a -2.5 to -3 favorite over MINN with the total line offered up at consensus line of 135-points.

The Nittany Lions enter this game fresh off a 72-56 beat down of the Illini last Saturday easily covering the -8 betting line. PSU is currently on a 5-1 run straight up and against the spread including three straight road wins and covers. The 128 combined points scored in their last game fell well short of the 146 total line for their third consecutive UNDER after a run of six straight OVERS.

The Golden Gophers come into this game on the heels of 69-60 loss to the Terrapin as +7 underdog. The loss broke off a two-game win streak both SU and ATS for Minnesota. The 129 points put on the board by these two squads had UNDER bettors cashing their tickets for the fourth time in the Gophers last five games and eight in their previous ten.

Neutral Site Stats

Minnesota had a lot of early season success on a neutral court going 3-0 including a nice 68-66 win over Washington. They’ve outscored their opponents by seven points scoring 72.3 while allowing 65.3.

Penn State has gone .500 on a neutral court this season, beating Wright State and Duquesne while falling to Bradley and NC State. PSU held two of their opponents to fewer than 60 and went 2-2 versus the O/U line.

Check out our UC Riverside at UC Irvine College Basketball game analysis with free game pick!

Big Ten Numbers

Both teams have a negative conference W/L record with the Nittany Lions going a 7-13 straight up but keep in mind that they lost their first ten in the Big Ten before closing out the regular season on a 7-3 roll. The Golden Gophers were a better 9-11 in conference play; however, they faded in the closing weeks going just 3-7 straight up. Versus the number, each team was in positive territory with identical 11-9Betting Trends records against the spread.

Betting Trends

  • Penn State is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
  • Penn State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Penn State's last 9 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
  • Minnesota is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing Penn State

Penn State vs. Minnesota Prediction 3/14/19

The Nittany Lions are a sweet roll, but they are no "lock" in here in a game that like their earlier meeting that was decided by one point (MINN 65 – PSU 64) could easily be settled on the last shot. So I’ll stay away from a point spread bet and instead get down on the total. Penn State has been playing good defense holding their last four opponents to 65 or fewer points and each to below their season scoring averages. The Gophers rarely get lit up and lately have had their problems scoring higher than 64 points just twice in the last ten contests where they were 2-10 versus the O/U line.

Free Pick: 
Take the UNDER 135