Oklahoma at Texas Christian Analysis & Prediction ATS

Date: 
January 24, 8:00 PM EST
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
OU +5.5/TCU -5.5
Total: 
137.5

The Oklahoma Sooners have lost three of their last four games, but in fairness, two of the losses were by four or fewer points. They'll look to turn it around tonight when they head to Fort Worth to take on the TCU Horned Frogs at the Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena. The odds board has the Horned Frogs anywhere from a -5 to -5.5 point spread favorite with the total line a consensus of 137.5 points.

Line Movement

The spread line opened as high as TCU -7.5 but has slid down to 5.5 at most sportsbooks. The total lien hit the board at a high of 138.5 points, but most shops are now hanging a 137.5.

Last Game Info

Oklahoma is coming off a loss to Baylor (62-60). Going into the game, the Sooners were +2 point underdogs, resulting in an ATS push. The combined 122 points did not surpass the 141.5 total line.

TCU will be looking for another win, as they most recently defeated Kansas by a score of 83-60. The Horned Frogs also picked up an ATS victory as they were +7.5 point underdogs. The combined 143 points did not surpass the 146 total line.

Current Form

Oklahoma
Over their last five games, Oklahoma has a straight-up record of 2-3 while going 2-2-1 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Sooners' offense averages 67.2 points per game while hitting 46.2% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 42.1% from the field while allowing 70.4 points per contest.

TCU
In their previous five contests, TCU is 2-3 straight-up and 3-2 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 74.4 points per game on a shooting percentage of 50.5%. Defensively, they are allowing teams to hit 45.9% of their shots while giving up 70.0 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Oklahoma's opponents comes in at 82.8. Conversely, TCU's combined opponent power rating sits at 77.3.

How Does Oklahoma Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Sooners have played five road games and have a record of 2-3. In these contests, Oklahoma is 3-2 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 68.4 points per game on a shooting percentage of 46.0%. On defense, the Sooners allow 69.6 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 43.6% in these games.

How Does TCU Fare At Home?

In their 14 games at home, TCU has a 6-7 record vs. the spread while going 12-2 straight-up. On offense, the Horned Frogs are shooting 45.6% on their home floor, leading to 77.8 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 39.9% in these contests. The TCU defense is allowing 61.6 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Oklahoma is averaging 68.5 points per game (286th) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 47.5%. In today's game, they will be matched up against a TCU defense that has allowed an average of 64.9 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 41.2% of their shots vs. TCU. On the other side, the TCU Horned Frogs are coming into the game averaging 68.1 points per game on a shooting percentage of 44.1%. The Horned Frogs will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 63.8 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 42.5% of their shots vs. the Sooners.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Oklahoma has a shooting percentage of 33.9% while ranking 375th in attempts per game. The Sooners will be facing a TCU defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 27.8%. TCU enters the game, hitting 30.4% of their looks from deep while averaging 5.59 made 3's per game. On the other end, Oklahoma has allowed opponents to hit 30.1% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note

Oklahoma

  • Yaya Keita (Out) Shin

TCU

  • Micah Peavy (Questionable) Back

Oklahoma at TCU Prediction ATS 1/24/23

This is more of a feel play. TCU is a little banged up. They return home to accolades after the Jayhawks slaying and could easily be a little too full of themselves. The Sooners are just 1-3 in true road games, but three of the four losses were by four or fewer points. 

Free Pick: 
Take Oklahoma +5.5