Northeastern Huskies at Hofstra Pride NCAAF Pick - Odds and ATS Predictions

January 5, 4:00 PM EST

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Hofstra -7

The Hofstra Pride (12-3) host the Northeastern Huskies (7-7) will play in a Colonial Athletic Association conference clash on Saturday, January 5th, 2019 with a tip-off time of 4:00 PM ET. The game will be available for streaming through CBS Digital Sports. As of late, the series has been all Hofstra for the most part as they had won five straight against the Huskies before Northeastern finally snapped that winning streak with an 81-67 win in Hempstead last January. The Huskies were priced as a 2.5-point underdog in the upset.

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Northeastern Huskies at Hofstra Pride Overview

Northeastern Huskies

The Huskies come into this contest off an 82-80 loss in overtime sustained at home on December 30th against the Delaware Blue Hens. The successful upset bid by UD came with Northeastern being priced as a 12-point underdog in the aforementioned affair and marked the third straight game that the Huskies failed to cover spotting a double-digit point total. The Huskies have now on a game against the spread since December 1st against EMU as a seven-point favorite and have gone 0-4-2 ATS since then.

Hofstra Pride

The opposite has been the case with the Pride who have been a broken slot machine as of late, covering in five straight contests to push them to a stellar 12-2 ATS record on the year. The Pride also enter on an even more impressive nine-game winning streak. Like their counterparts, Hofstra has not taken the court since December 30th where they defeated Drexel by a score of 89-75 covering a 12.5-point line in the process.

Reasons To Back Northeastern

When comparing the strength of schedule, the Huskies have played a significantly more difficult docket compared to their opponents. According to KenPom, Northeastern has played the 31st most difficult non-conference strength of schedule while the Pride's non-conference SOS ranks 310th. This means that most of Hofstra's wins were earned against weaker completion compared to Northeastern who lost more games against tougher teams. Despite all of this, the two teams are near identical in field goal percentage as the Huskies hit 48.7% of their attempts to Hofstra's 48.8%. Though their efficiency is similar, their constitution is not as Northeastern is the more battle-tested team. Furthermore, Northeastern owns the deeper bench, and this is a massive advantage for the Huskies.

Reasons To Avoid Hofstra

On the contrary, the stock on this team is through the ceiling and as a result an overreaction is bound to materialize on the Pride. Several variables will magnetize action toward Hofstra. First, the Pride's winning streak both outright and against the spread. Secondly, the fact that Hofstra is 9-0 SU at home this season. A stat such as that will subject takers to lay more points when the Pride is at home given the fact they will be a commodity in such a scenario. Lastly, Hofstra has emerged as the favorite for the CAA crown in ESPN's Bracketology. This puts Hofstra on the national radar, will attract much attention, and garner heavy public steam as a result which once again inflates the price on this outfit. When you combine all of this with the massive discrepancy in the strength of schedule, Hofstra may actually be set-up for an upset here.

Northeastern at Hofstra Prediction 01/05/2019

We will preface this with the notion that an upset is not of the question here by any means. Northeastern won here last year, and the upperclassmen on this basketball team know what it takes to defeat the undefeated Pride on its own hardwood. Be that as it may, there are more than enough points to work with here as this game will likely come down to the final possession if it is not a significant win for Northeastern.

Free Pick: 
Take Northeastern +7

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